Mathematically speaking, it looks like this is now baked in. And when the healthcare system is overwhelmed, the fatality rate for COVID spikes. We are going to lose a lot of people before spring. https://twitter.com/KrutikaKuppalli/status/1325107965272207360">https://twitter.com/KrutikaKu...
Sure, but wear a full-body hazard suit & hose yourself down afterwards.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="đ" title="Ausdrucksloses Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Ausdrucksloses Gesicht"> https://twitter.com/AlmostMedia/status/1325117185187045379">https://twitter.com/AlmostMed...
Don& #39;t plan any long car trips for the foreseeable future, & just plan to not drive in general. If you get in a car accident & you& #39;re in a hot spot (and it& #39;s all gonna be hotspots quicker than you think), you will not get an ER bed.
All that stuff we worried about back in March? It& #39;s coming for us, now. We avoided it thanks to a combo of summer weather & lockdowns. But now it& #39;s here. Whatever you were prepping for back then, get back into that headspace & prep for it now.
We& #39;re in the regime of exponential spread, & there will be no national coordination of countermeasures before January. Exponential spread is where it happens slowly, then all at once. We& #39;re really close to the "all at once" part of the curve, which will hit in the interregnum.
I get it that people have COVID fatigue, & lockdown fatigue, & prepping-for-the-worst fatigue. I have all that, too. But SARS-COV-2 doesn& #39;t care where you& #39;re at mentally, anymore than Hurricane Delta cared that my parents& #39; roof wasn& #39;t fixed from the Hurricane Laura damage.
Even if hospital capacity holds (it won& #39;t), Remdesivir has been a big part of the halving of fatality rates we& #39;ve seen. We don& #39;t have an infinite supply of Remdesivir, & the EU needs it too & is already having problems. https://www.biospace.com/article/eu-faces-remdesivir-shortages-amidst-sharp-spikes-in-new-covid-19-cases">https://www.biospace.com/article/e...
In private prepping groups I& #39;m in, empty supermarket shelves are showing back up again in different areas. Now is the time (today, not like a week from now) to head back out to Coscto, Sam& #39;s Club, wherever, & stock back up. Just Groundhog Day it -- a repeat of March. Immediately.
Ah, right. I forgot about that study. Even so, in the game of "hospital capacity is required to keep IFR down", running out of it => lower hospital capacity => more dead. https://twitter.com/projectilo/status/1325123875152125952">https://twitter.com/projectil...
https://twitter.com/DrTomFrieden/status/1325104493051191296">https://twitter.com/DrTomFrie...
https://twitter.com/SafaMote/status/1325136759626215427">https://twitter.com/SafaMote/...