CBC article is a good analysis of why #COVID19 is surging across but doesn’t talk much about Québec.
So let’s take a look at our beautiful province & what’s unfolding here
Thread https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/coronavirus-canada-surge-second-wave-1.5793753?__vfz=medium%3Dsharebar
So let’s take a look at our beautiful province & what’s unfolding here
Thread https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/coronavirus-canada-surge-second-wave-1.5793753?__vfz=medium%3Dsharebar
weak surveillance (test-trace): QC, like other provinces, has done little to bolster its surveillance system, without which we don’t know where the is constantly in reaction mode vs. being proactive
Strong surveillance coupled w/ wastewater data could go a long way
Strong surveillance coupled w/ wastewater data could go a long way
lack of policy driven by clear epidemiological benchmarks: our reactive policies throughout the pandemic have been mostly made under the false dichotomy of economy vs health benchmarks for re-opening or even imposing restrictions are arbitrarily set & moved
Complacency & not learning from others: I’ve previously shared the Lancet paper comparing re-opening strategies of 9 high income countries: https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(20)32007-9.pdf
It appears that we have learned very little from experience of other countries who were ahead in their curves
It appears that we have learned very little from experience of other countries who were ahead in their curves
In the summer we re-opened the province, allowing large gathers & not planning ahead for schools year, becoming complacent by the low case & forgetting that don’t take summer vacation, rather silently & slowly spreading away.
Our school re-opening plan was one of the worst in the country, with everything starting in-person & no universal mandate for students the simmering continued and it boiled over a month after start of school year. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-schools-second-wave-1.5791616
full-fledged community transmission (grâce à la réouverture des écoles) + insufficient surveillance system + reactory policy making without clear epidemiological benchmarks & not taking aerosol transmission into account the soup has boiled over!
The rampant spread in regions like Saguenay is the result of this perfect storm of complacency + insufficient surveillance system + lack of proactive data-driven policy making!
We will continue to see the simmering followed by boiling over cycle till we change our approach
We will continue to see the simmering followed by boiling over cycle till we change our approach