
weak surveillance (test-trace): QC, like other provinces, has done little to bolster its surveillance system, without which we don’t know where the

is

constantly in reaction mode vs. being proactive

Strong surveillance coupled w/ wastewater data could go a long way

lack of policy driven by clear epidemiological benchmarks: our reactive policies throughout the pandemic have been mostly made under the false dichotomy of economy vs health

benchmarks for re-opening or even imposing restrictions are arbitrarily set & moved

Complacency & not learning from others: I’ve previously shared the Lancet paper comparing re-opening strategies of 9 high income countries:
https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(20)32007-9.pdfIt appears that we have learned very little from experience of other countries who were ahead in their curves

In the summer we re-opened the province, allowing large gathers & not planning ahead for schools year, becoming complacent by the low case

& forgetting that

don’t take summer vacation, rather silently & slowly spreading away.

Our school re-opening plan was one of the worst in the country, with everything starting in-person & no universal

mandate for students

the simmering continued and it boiled over a month after start of school year.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-schools-second-wave-1.5791616

full-fledged community transmission (grâce à la réouverture des écoles) + insufficient surveillance system + reactory policy making without clear epidemiological benchmarks & not taking aerosol transmission into account

the soup has boiled over!

The rampant spread in regions like Saguenay is the result of this perfect storm of complacency + insufficient surveillance system + lack of proactive data-driven policy making!
We will continue to see the simmering followed by boiling over cycle till we change our approach