How did Americans vote in 2020?

We gathered a large set of data to get a preliminary snapshot of how the US voted this year. Here’s what we found https://on.ft.com/3560bCT 

The data indicate that Donald Trump lost ground with white voters, particularly those without a college degree — a group that was crucial to his victory in 2016 https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

The expectation that a more diverse America would favour Democrats didn’t play out. Donald Trump actually made slight in-roads with non-white voters this year compared with 2016, though most still voted for Joe Biden https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

The data also suggest that college-educated non-white voters, who favour Democrats, didn’t change their voting patterns when compared with 2016. But non-college educated minority voters increased their support for Donald Trump from 20% to 25% https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

Donald Trump’s relative success with Latino voters, particularly in Florida, demonstrates the fallacy of treating broad racial groups as blocs. Latinos as a whole voted heavily for Biden, but the anti-socialist Cuban community in Florida favoured Trump https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

The data also reveal that wealthy voters increased their support for Donald Trump compared with 2016, while those with family incomes of less than $50,000 favoured Democrats even more than in the last election https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

In terms of the gender divide, the disparity wasn’t as big as anticipated. Joe Biden made substantial gains with men when compared with Hillary Clinton in 2016, while he fared about the same as Clinton did with women https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d

Read our full analysis here, including the age and demographic vote divide: https://www.ft.com/content/69f3206f-37a7-4561-bebf-5929e7df850d