BREAK: Serious warning from scientists in new dump of SAGE docs.
From 14 Oct:
-In England, infection & hospital admission levels breaching Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario.
-Daily deaths now at Reasonable Worst Case levels & & #39;highly likely& #39; to exceed them within 2 weeks
From 14 Oct:
-In England, infection & hospital admission levels breaching Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario.
-Daily deaths now at Reasonable Worst Case levels & & #39;highly likely& #39; to exceed them within 2 weeks
More from SAGE:
-Evidence that individuals haven& #39;t changed behaviour and are meeting same number of contacts as in past 2 months.
-US studies suggest restaurants and bars are particularly risky environments.
-Current outlook is & #39;concerning& #39;, if no & #39;decisive interventions& #39;.
/2
-Evidence that individuals haven& #39;t changed behaviour and are meeting same number of contacts as in past 2 months.
-US studies suggest restaurants and bars are particularly risky environments.
-Current outlook is & #39;concerning& #39;, if no & #39;decisive interventions& #39;.
/2
Significant warning from govt scientific advisers on household mixing:
-& #39;The frequency of interhousehold contacts needs to be reduced to curtail transmission, whereas limiting group size alone has only a marginal effect& #39;.
/3
-& #39;The frequency of interhousehold contacts needs to be reduced to curtail transmission, whereas limiting group size alone has only a marginal effect& #39;.
/3
SAGE say flaws in Test & Trace affect their work:
-& #39;Recent operational issues& #39; with T&T & #39;have exacerbated the level of uncertainty& #39; in estimates.
-Testing demand & #39;not being met& #39; & testing delays make it & #39;difficult to interpret trends& #39; & add uncertainty to modelling.
/4
-& #39;Recent operational issues& #39; with T&T & #39;have exacerbated the level of uncertainty& #39; in estimates.
-Testing demand & #39;not being met& #39; & testing delays make it & #39;difficult to interpret trends& #39; & add uncertainty to modelling.
/4