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BREAK: Serious warning from scientists in new dump of SAGE docs.
From 14 Oct:
-In England, infection & hospital admission levels breaching Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario.
-Daily deaths now at Reasonable Worst Case levels & 'highly likely' to exceed them within 2 weeks
From 14 Oct:
-In England, infection & hospital admission levels breaching Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario.
-Daily deaths now at Reasonable Worst Case levels & 'highly likely' to exceed them within 2 weeks
More from SAGE:
-Evidence that individuals haven't changed behaviour and are meeting same number of contacts as in past 2 months.
-US studies suggest restaurants and bars are particularly risky environments.
-Current outlook is 'concerning', if no 'decisive interventions'.
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-Evidence that individuals haven't changed behaviour and are meeting same number of contacts as in past 2 months.
-US studies suggest restaurants and bars are particularly risky environments.
-Current outlook is 'concerning', if no 'decisive interventions'.
/2
Significant warning from govt scientific advisers on household mixing:
-'The frequency of interhousehold contacts needs to be reduced to curtail transmission, whereas limiting group size alone has only a marginal effect'.
/3
-'The frequency of interhousehold contacts needs to be reduced to curtail transmission, whereas limiting group size alone has only a marginal effect'.
/3
SAGE say flaws in Test & Trace affect their work:
-'Recent operational issues' with T&T 'have exacerbated the level of uncertainty' in estimates.
-Testing demand 'not being met' & testing delays make it 'difficult to interpret trends' & add uncertainty to modelling.
/4
-'Recent operational issues' with T&T 'have exacerbated the level of uncertainty' in estimates.
-Testing demand 'not being met' & testing delays make it 'difficult to interpret trends' & add uncertainty to modelling.
/4
