Assumptions: i-moas (I'm looking at specifically US) are avail to stream 10hrs/day, the max amt of effective streams/hr is 3. I gathered my info for this thread from @/I_moa_streaming. https://twitter.com/soobimoroll/status/1322032820248719360
There's a lot of finger pointing and guilt tripping going on with moas in regard to streaming right now and I want to put it into a perspective using numbers.
The average view increase per hour (VPH) is +64,315 from yesterday 2:00PM KST - today 2:00PM KST, so I'm looking at a whole day's worth of streams.
Non-premium guidelines (from what I've seen) reinforce about 20min of videos in between each stream, so I'm estimating the "effective views" that follow guidelines to be 3 VPH/moa. This puts the avg amt of moas streaming/hr at 21,438.
An assumption I made was that moas are avail to stream for 10hrs/day. The theoretical max amt of "effective views" is 30views/day with this assumption.
This would make our est view gain +643,151 HOWEVER the actual view gain over the 2PM-2PM single day that I'm covering the data for is ‼️1,479,247!!! And let me explain why this makes sense.
I estimated that 21,438 moas are streaming at any hour. I want to address the concern of "the boys have this amount of followers, if everyone streamed once and stopped being lazy we could reach our goal!" -> Look at our fanbases.
We want to look at active participants toward streams/votes and that'll come from moas engaged with fanbases. A major US fanbase, @/TXTUnitedStates has 👉13.9k followers👈, and @/TXTintl_twt has 👉34.1k followers.👈
I know I just looked at two fanbases here, but I was looking for the most popular international or US focused fanbases to do this thread on, which I mentioned in my beginning tweets. The avg amount of followers is 24k.
My est amount of moas streaming per hour is just nearly 21.4k. Regionally, it makes sense for this to be a somewhat accurate number of moas who are streaming. ‼️moas are not being lazy. ACTIVE MOAS are doing their part.‼️
If I INCREASE the "time available to stream" to 24 hours to cover all of the globe and not just look at moas regionally/sectionally, then the est, theo total PER DAY view gain is 👉1,543,562. WE GAINED 👉1,479,247 in the PAST DAY.
We reached 96% of active and available moas over the last day. Only 4% of my ESTIMATED moas either couldn't stream for the maximum amount of time I assumed, didn't stream at all, or didn't maximize their streams/hr to be 3.
As I'm making this thread, our goal is 16M views, and we are 1,424,807 away. We would need about 60k moas to be streaming consistently, 3 effective views per hour, for the next 8 hours to reach 16M.
We really aren't in a position to be judging or blaming the 96% of estimated moas globally/regionally/whatever who are CONSISTENTLY, ACTIVELY streaming to NOT be able to attain this goal.
Takeaways: the moas who are actively participating are doing a DAMN good job at streaming (at least looking in my region, US). If we can't get 16M in 8 more hours, don't be angry (it's anticipated we'll reach it within the day), but moas are not being lazy here
MAXIMIZE your effective views. Try keeping track of going 3views/hr and tally how many streams you managed (non-premium broke moas like me). For reference I tracked 30 streams for me (yesterday) which means i covered my estimated 8 hrs of streaming PLUS 2hrs to make up for ia moa
And stop guilt tripping each other. If we can get the right people to stream in organized groups, there's NO DOUBT that my est number of moa streaming/hr WILL INCREASE. Don't give up!!!! Encourage your moa friends!!! But have a conscience to know that+
you CANT make EVERYONE in a fandom an active participant. You CAN though, try to maximize efficiency.
GO FORTH, MOA!!!! GO STREAM, BE HAPPY, DANCE IN YOUR CHAIRS!!! INCREASE THE # OF ACTIVE MOA/HR!!!! THAT'S HOW WE CAN INC OUR VIEWS (because views/hr is static so yt won't call us bots lmao)
https://twitter.com/soobimoroll/status/1322064204895977472?s=20
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