Now we are open Vic .. what options were there?

5 cases a day? "unachievable" !
5 mystery cases? "roadmap to despair"

We got there

On Sept 13 @michaelobrienmp wanted to open Vic up

@agent_jase says could have become 100 daily cases by Xmas

https://www.abc.net.au/radio/melbourne/programs/drive/jason-thompson-on-the-modelling-that-showed-exactly-how-to-beat-/12832258">https://www.abc.net.au/radio/mel... 1/3

@michaelobrienmp Sept 13 - Stage 3 with masks "from next week, I can see no reason why that can& #39;t be done.. that is what the modelling suggests is a sensible move."

Actually modeler suggests that would have sent us back to 100 daily cases

What could have happened? 2/3

We had > 1000 active cases, approx 60 daily & 60 mystery cases (over 14 days)

One of the modelers @Agent_Jase "it& #39;s unlikely we would have got out of Stage 3, and in early Nov - Dec, we might have even entered back into Stage 4 again, triggered by 1400 cases a fortnight" 3/3