FL: 1,775,374 ballots have been cast by voters who didn't turn out in the '16 general election. That's 26.2% of all ballots cast so far.

Registered Dems have a 9 pt advantage among these surge voters, as compared to a 2 pt advantage with those early voters who did vote in '16.

This suggests that the GOP turnout is more skewed towards likely voters in Florida so far, while Dems have been more successful turning out new voters.

In Arizona, where an astounding 1 in 3 early votes have been cast by people who did not vote in 2016, Dems have a lead among these surge voters of 6.5 pts, as compared to a 1.7 pt lead among those early voters who cast a ballot in '16.

In North Carolina, 1 in 4 early votes have been cast by non-'16 voters. Dems lead by 9.1 pts among these surge voters, as compared to their 8.2 pt lead among those who did vote in '16.