Louder for the people at the back. It& #39;s false to say that xG says that #ReadingFC are dramatically overperforming. Both the STPod and those saying "xG is rubbish because we& #39;re winning" are off.

xG has the most likely result for Reading& #39;s games as the & #39;correct& #39; one on 6/8 games

This has been calculated by taking the xG from Wyscout and adding a suitable value for Meite& #39;s open goal vs Blackburn.

This says that the only games where Reading have gotten a & #39;better than likely& #39; result based on chances created were Watford and Cardiff.

*Obviously* there are a number of contextual factors, including game state and the hot streaks of our forwards - but it& #39;s not the case that xG is wrong, nor that certain podcasts are right. It& #39;s a stat, that needs to be contextualised - like all stats (e.g. number of shots).

In fact, for most games xG says & #39;there wasn& #39;t much danger of us losing; only question was whether we& #39;d hold on for the win, or go home with the draw& #39;, which actually feels.... pretty much right.