so i did a little computing with hanteo numbers (album, digital, and music charts) & some m/net video and mv views comparisons to see how + x + would do at next week& #39;s chart
<a thread of predictions and pieces of information that could help us win in music shows>
the main contenders (vs. + x +) for next week& #39;s trophies are most likely:
t/w!ce
s/v+
b/Iack p!nk
n/c+
so they are the ones whose data i compared ours with
•our main competition: t/w!ce
•why: both new releases, same week of 1st week sales tracking
•our advantage:
- +x+ released the album a day earlier so all 7 days of 1st week sales will be included in next week& #39;s chart
- right now we have a lead of +55.2k sales
- the other 3 grps& #39; sales have slowed down (since their releases are at least a week old) the highest sales among them in the past 2 days is ~60k and we should be safe if han+eo is able to count all our preorders
•our disadvantage:
- so far none, i only hope more moas buy copies so that we dont get stuck at 400k, we should at least aim to get 600-700k throughout promotions
- we keep buying physical albums, we might just get + x + 3 to 4 wins!
•our main competition: all 4 mentioned grps
*i was only able to get data starting oct 28 since its the oldest daily data available on the whosfan app >< so this is based on the past 2 days only
*i will be tracking it from here on, and will post updates
- + x + and mθa arent the strongest in terms of digital streams, but i think we can still get significant points for our digitals
- right now our daily digital points are at ~2.7k which is small compared to b/Ickp!nk& #39;s 9.7k & t/w!ce& #39;s 8.8k
however,
- our digitals are not too far from s/v+& #39;s 3.9k (i know its a stretch somehow;; but hear me out)
- s/v+ won on m/covntdowń vs. b/Ickp!nk and their digital point difference is the same as + x +& #39;s vs. t/w!ce& #39;s
- paired with our physical sales (and if we increase our physicals even more) we can push our score further and get them trophies in the bag
- n/c+ has almost the same digital points as s/v+, the latter grp won m/covntdowń today probably bc of physicals
*mv views usually range from 10-30% of music show score; this is why its so so so so important to stream the mv! please make it ur routine to stream ( https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5p4p )!">https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5...
- our viewing rate is similar to s/v+& #39;s, if we push harder we can achieve 25M in 7days! they got their 25M in 7days and 42mins
- its not really the # of views thats v competitive, but it& #39;s substantial and enough to make our entry in the chart pretty stable
*includes: m/ne+ kpop, m-two, & stud!θ chθθm
•our main competition: yes, t/w!ce
•our advantage: weve got so many videos!!! holy shit theres 57 as of my counting 4hrs ago
- i added up all of + x +& #39;s and t/w!ce& #39;s views to compare
• + x +
= 7.2M (mtwo) + 700k (mkpop) + 360k (ch00m)
= 8.3M views
• t/w!ce
= 3.5M (mtwo + mkpop) + 7.3M (ch00m)
= 10.8M views
- i& #39;d say our views arent that bad here, but then if you think abt the amount of videos we have compared to the other grp, we should have at least 10-15M views by now
- search "m2" on youtube, scroll thru their videos and watch + x + fancams now GO!
- idk if m/coun+ includes ch00m views in computing for the chart, but if its included, then we have to catch up the 2M view gap! i dont think itll be hard bc its fun watching fancams
- stream it, compare their dance styles, study the choreo, etc.
based on the info above,
•we& #39;re most likely to have the best chances at winning at:
- the show
- show ch@mp
- m/coun+down
*these 3 charts allot at least 10% of the score for physicals, and although it might not sound like much it adds a lot
*these charts also have live and pre-show voting
*i havent seen a lot of people say that we have a shot at winning at m/coun+down but i think if we stream the mv & fancams hard enough and pre-vote well we can definitely do it!!
*i havent seen a lot of people say that we have a shot at winning at m/coun+down but i think if we stream the mv & fancams hard enough and pre-vote well we can definitely do it!!
•mus!c b@nk:
- as much as i want to say they& #39;ll win here, based on the numbers i think theres at most a 5050 chance of them winning
- if kmoas are able to get a lot of radio and tv airplay for blue hour then there& #39;d be a bigger chance
- its also up to them to vote, stream, & buy
- as much as i want to say they& #39;ll win here, based on the numbers i think theres at most a 5050 chance of them winning
- if kmoas are able to get a lot of radio and tv airplay for blue hour then there& #39;d be a bigger chance
- its also up to them to vote, stream, & buy
please cheer for kmoas and their streaming on kr music platforms!! yt views are also sometimes combined with kr digital sales so please stream the mv as best as you can too.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3"> reaching 25M in 7days is a must! remember 10-30% of the points come from the mv views+
25M might not sound as good compared to our main rival grp& #39;s current view count, but for now trust that this will be enough. stream hard and stream correctly.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="4️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 4" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 4"> keep ! streaming ! m/ne+ ! fancams ! we have 8.3M right now, we need at least 12-15M to beat our main competitor !
<end of thread>
!!! please share if you can
!!! i will be adding more info once available
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🌟" title="Leuchtender Stern" aria-label="Emoji: Leuchtender Stern"> LETS GO GET THEM THEIR TROPHIES !!!!!
( https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5p4 )">https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5...
!!! please share if you can
!!! i will be adding more info once available
( https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5p4 )">https://youtu.be/Vd9QkWsd5...
- just found this recently looks like our predictions are similar https://twitter.com/kshowanalysis/status/1321002429882585089">https://twitter.com/kshowanal...
- Let& #39;s secure this win for them!!! https://twitter.com/kshowanalysis/status/1321943645520568321">https://twitter.com/kshowanal...