Read on Twitter
There are a lot of polls coming out today, tomorrow, and this weekend. Before they do, looking at the data today, even assuming the polls are right, there is still a path for Trump. It is narrow, but it is real.
Current polling averages in the Sun Belt states - FL, NC, AZ, TX, GA - all have Trump in striking distance. They are tied or within just a point or two. Not enough for me to say confidently which way they& #39;ll go. If they all go Trump, that& #39;s ALMOST enough...
On the flip side, if the polls are right, Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump. But he doesn& #39;t need them if he& #39;s won the Sun Belt....as long as he also holds Pennsylvania. Current polling averages have Biden ahead, but not comfortably.
There& #39;s a scenario where the map looks like this. And this scenario DOES NOT REQUIRE THE POLLS TO BE WRONG.
However, I would note that given how tight things are as of this morning in the polling averages in many big states, this is ALSO a scenario that is possible.
In conclusion:
Final note: we have a boatload of polling data still to come out. So, this analysis only valid as of October 29 at 11:30 am eastern time. Exclusions may apply, offer not valid on previous purchases.
