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It's #TravelCorridor Thursday and lots of questions.
I'll try to answer them all (including any you send @ me)
This is the great daily #coronavirus thread with all the #Covid19 stats, analysis and news, updated throughout the day
I'll try to answer them all (including any you send @ me)
This is the great daily #coronavirus thread with all the #Covid19 stats, analysis and news, updated throughout the day
#TravelCorridor
#Germany #Denmark + #Sweden are all over 100/100,000 cases per week
#Cyprus if you include the whole island never was at this level, but if you take only the south, then it is slightly above all these nations
However look at the difference in testing...
#Germany #Denmark + #Sweden are all over 100/100,000 cases per week
#Cyprus if you include the whole island never was at this level, but if you take only the south, then it is slightly above all these nations
However look at the difference in testing...
Logic dictates all 4 countries should be removed from #TravelCorridor. However, Grant Shapps will look stupid if he removes #Denmark 7 days after adding them. He'll say they're testing a lot, true & save them. But then #Cyprus too must also be saved: high testing, falling numbers
#Germany and #Sweden have zero defence
Neither is testing a great deal and both are seeing cases rise - Germany's at a very high rate.
So I predict both will be removed from #TravelCorridor today
Neither is testing a great deal and both are seeing cases rise - Germany's at a very high rate.
So I predict both will be removed from #TravelCorridor today
#TravelCorridor
Next let me turn to the Baltic States.
#Estonia is fine. #Latvia is in the grey zone, but should be ok with good testing and numbers not too high (72/100k)
However #Lithuania's numbers are too high to ignore (144/100k) and I expect it to also be removed today
Next let me turn to the Baltic States.
#Estonia is fine. #Latvia is in the grey zone, but should be ok with good testing and numbers not too high (72/100k)
However #Lithuania's numbers are too high to ignore (144/100k) and I expect it to also be removed today
#TravelCorridor
#Greece is a worry. Cases soaring, big records last 2 days and #Covid19 cases doubling every 7.5 days
Testing rate's not great, lower than all on 1st graphic in this thread
Infection rate is "only" 66.9/100k but this would be higher if measuring mainland only
#Greece is a worry. Cases soaring, big records last 2 days and #Covid19 cases doubling every 7.5 days
Testing rate's not great, lower than all on 1st graphic in this thread
Infection rate is "only" 66.9/100k but this would be higher if measuring mainland only
I think #Greece is a toss up, but I'll stick my neck out & say nothing will change, Greece to remain on #TravelCorridor
The only islands at risk seem to be Naxos & Chios
But Naxos has steadied now, and Chios figures were made worse by testing at migrant camp, so both may be ok
The only islands at risk seem to be Naxos & Chios
But Naxos has steadied now, and Chios figures were made worse by testing at migrant camp, so both may be ok
Last week @grantshapps sprang a bit of a surprise by heeding my call to consider Canary Islands as a possible #TravelCorridor addition
Sadly no genuine prospect of a return for Balearics just yet as cases are rising.
However I predict #Jamaica & #SouthAfrica to be added today
Sadly no genuine prospect of a return for Balearics just yet as cases are rising.
However I predict #Jamaica & #SouthAfrica to be added today
Great news for beleaguered #Czechia where the clampdown is showing first signs of working.
New #Covid19 cases are actually DOWN today compared to same day last week: 12,997 vs 14969
However some caution, today may be a low blip, and we may see another record before the weekend
New #Covid19 cases are actually DOWN today compared to same day last week: 12,997 vs 14969
However some caution, today may be a low blip, and we may see another record before the weekend
#Norway came close to another national record overnight with a total of 403 new #Covid19 cases in the day
Cases are up over 50% in 3 days, doubling in 5.5 days
Cases are up over 50% in 3 days, doubling in 5.5 days
#USA data continues to be bad. Not only are #Covid19 cases growing but the virus is increasing the speed of reproduction.
Infections for last 7 days are now 21% up on previous week, and Wednesday was 25% up
Today or tomorrow COULD SEE USA HIT 100,000 cases in a day
Infections for last 7 days are now 21% up on previous week, and Wednesday was 25% up
Today or tomorrow COULD SEE USA HIT 100,000 cases in a day
Back to #Czechia for a moment, and its neighbour #Slovakia
This is a great thread for anyone interested in either country, or just data nerds.
Slovakia has certainly slowed the increase quite markedly the last few days, and here Daniel explains how: https://twitter.com/DanielBanas_sk/status/1321611960543305728
This is a great thread for anyone interested in either country, or just data nerds.
Slovakia has certainly slowed the increase quite markedly the last few days, and here Daniel explains how: https://twitter.com/DanielBanas_sk/status/1321611960543305728
