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1/ There are a lot of polls saying the race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in Texas is close this year. Should you take them seriously?
We spoke with @rossramsey about how to read political polling. Here’s what you need to know:
We spoke with @rossramsey about how to read political polling. Here’s what you need to know:
2/ After the 2016 race, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton despite polls heavily suggesting a Clinton victory. Some have since become hesitant to draw any conclusions about where this year& #39;s race stands. http://bit.ly/3kxn9YG ">https://bit.ly/3kxn9YG&q...
3/ The Tribune’s @rossramsey, says people often misconstrue polls as conclusions or predictions, rather than snapshots in time.
“If you think polls are reading the future — that it’s a crystal ball, or a palm reading, or something — you’re going to be disappointed every time.”
“If you think polls are reading the future — that it’s a crystal ball, or a palm reading, or something — you’re going to be disappointed every time.”
4/ Ross said that the mistakes of 2016, for the most part, we’re assumptions about who would vote. A lot of people voted in 2016 who, based on their history, weren’t expected to vote. http://bit.ly/3kxn9YG ">https://bit.ly/3kxn9YG&q...
5/ It’s also important to note that the 2016 polls really weren’t *that* far off. They were off marginally in a few key states — which made the difference for Trump.
As long as candidates are within the margin of error, anything can happen.
As long as candidates are within the margin of error, anything can happen.
6/ Polls are just another piece of news. Like any news you get, you should look at it and ask yourself: Where is it coming from? Who is saying this? Why are they saying it?
7/ Voters need to be asking a series of questions when assessing polls:
—What is the margin of error?
—Who sponsored the poll?
—What happened during the time frame that the poll was conducted?
—What is the margin of error?
—Who sponsored the poll?
—What happened during the time frame that the poll was conducted?
8/ Whatever you do: Don’t look at one poll. Look at several polls, and look for the trends in them.
And the polls in Texas show us that the margins are getting smaller.
And the polls in Texas show us that the margins are getting smaller.
9/9 Read more here. http://bit.ly/3kxn9YG ">https://bit.ly/3kxn9YG&q...
