1/N

There is a website where POTUS lists his accomplishments, and proclaims: “Promises Made, Promises Kept!” [ https://www.promiseskept.com ]

How do Americans actually perceive his record?

Here is our analysis:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/28/did-trump-keep-his-campaign-promises-heres-what-americans-think/

Finding #1: Voters are (imperfectly!) polarized

Finding #2:

Among voters who supported Trump last time BUT who think Trump mostly didn’t deliver, defection rates are quite high. 2/N

Third result:

Nearly all 2016 Trump voters are happy with how he dealt with China.

But on addressing corruption and health care, Trump is viewed as less successful even among his supporters. (And some are former supporters, as the previous chart shows.) 3/N

4/N Let’s look at the promise to “drain the swamp”

Most people think Trump failed to do that. (45% strongly feel that way)

And we see a correlation b/w watching less FOX News and believing the promise was broken.

This holds among all respondents, not just right-leaning ones:

5/N

Most conservatives agree that Trump drained the swamp in DC. (Or they feel they should express that sentiment on a survey.)

1/4 self-identified moderates think the promise was kept.

A broad majority of liberals say the swamp has not been drained:

What about non-voters? About a fifth say they don't really know.

But most feel, again, that the promised end of corruption did not materialize. 6/N

Again, 2016 Trump voters who believe D.T. did what he promised are very loyal.

But people who sat out the last election are generally not impressed, and they say they will vote accordingly:
7/N

4 years ago, Trump exceeded expectations by convincing enough voters he was "on their side" with memorable promises.

Our analysis, w/ a few more observations about the role of the media, is here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/28/did-trump-keep-his-campaign-promises-heres-what-americans-think/ 8/8
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