1/4
Another record day on both sides in FL: Republicans took a huge chunk (56,370) out of the Dems early/absentee vote margin but the Dem lead is still huge & historic (245,912)

The race is tightening.

So how does it compare to 2016?
2/4 In 2016, Rs & Ds were about tied at this point, w/Ds gaining in EVAB.

On Election Day, Dems had a 90k lead in EVAB ballots over GOP

When those votes were tabulated, Clinton won them w/a 247k margin

But Trump won Election Day with 361k more votes & carried the state by 113k
3/4
This is a reminder that all D votes don't=Biden nor R votes=Trump but they *sort of* cancel each other out. Indies lean Biden in most polls, but by how much?

Lots of voting left.
4/4

FL's at 6.9m ballots as of this a.m. of 14.4m registered voters.

About 2.6m Rs have voted (38%; 2.8m Dems (41%) and 1.5m indies (21%)

Republicans are burning through more high-propensity voters but have far more left than Dems.

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