1/ We are seeing a Thanksgiving bump in Ontario if you're at an indoor gathering COVID is probably there too. it's very quiet and unassuming, kind of the "death" of the party. Numbers are probably less than had been expected because of the hot spot mitigation
2/ measures that were taken, later than they should have been; we should be seeing the results of these right about now. This will help, but implementing them when there was pretty much uncontrolled community spread, will get them down but not to where we need them.
3/ We need to get numbers way down so we can effectively test, trace and isolate again (stopping it in certain regions was the right decision). We also need to concentrate far more on BACKWARD contact tracing, data shows this is a VERY effective method of infection control.
4/ In a once in a century pandemic we need as much information as possible, people need to know WHERE outbreaks are happening and what is high risk activity. If they have this information it will be much easier for people to make personal decisions that will protect them
5/ and lower community transmission. Changing the messaging would give people the ability to exercise some control over what many view as a hopeless situation, it will help both physical and mental health. Common sense says if this is primarily spread by
6/ airborne transmission, and it is, then the public should avoid high risk locations GIVE THEM THE DATA SO THEY CAN.
Now trying to keep the economy chugging along while controlling the rate of infection simply doesn't work.
It is far BETTER for the economy,
Now trying to keep the economy chugging along while controlling the rate of infection simply doesn't work.
It is far BETTER for the economy,
7/ and *small business owners* Doug, to control transmission: controlling the outbreak is also the most effective economic strategy. Whoda thunk it?
Certainly not the government of Ontario.
Certainly not the government of Ontario.
8/ We are at another tipping point. We don't yet know the impact of seasonality but we do know more activities are moving indoors and we know indoors is where COVID has the highest attack rate,
9/ so we must be prepared to MOVE QUICKLY with mitigation measures to control the virus AND preserve the economy. We see the data from Europe and must use it for effective virus control. Time and data are priceless in a pandemic and we must NOT squander it.