Thread by @Revkin, Last Friday, I hosted a sobering @earthinstitute panel with @ColumbiaClimate & @ClimSciDefense [...]

Last Friday, I hosted a sobering @earthinstitute panel with @ColumbiaClimate & @ClimSciDefense on threats to federal scientific integrity under Trump. The actions of @NOAA chief of staff Erik Noble in this story are extra jarring given his early days, including at @NASAGISS! 1/

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten"> https://twitter.com/JaneLubchenco/status/1321189518947438593">https://twitter.com/JaneLubch...

https://twitter.com/JaneLubchenco/status/1321189518947438593

We& #39;ll get to Erik Noble& #39;s journey from cub climate scientist (yes) to @teamtrump rapid-response quant in a second. The NOAA chief scientist Nobel demoted, Craig McLean, was also involved in #sharpiegate, which we discussed Friday: https://www.pscp.tv/Revkin/1BRJjYPeagZGw?t=2m59s">https://www.pscp.tv/Revkin/1B... 2/

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Andy Revkin @Revkin

Tracking Threats as Climate Science, Law and Politics Collide

https://www.pscp.tv/Revkin/1BRJjYPeagZGw?t=2m59s

Here& #39;s a flashback to the Sharpie adjustment to a hurricane forecast and the fine @LFFriedman @jswatz et al story exposing what happened. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/01/climate/noaa-trump-hurricane-dorian.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/0... 3/

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Here& #39;s a flashback to the Sharpie adjustment to a hurricane forecast and the fine @LFFriedman @jswatz et al story exposing what happened. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/0... 3/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Here& #39;s a flashback to the Sharpie adjustment to a hurricane forecast and the fine @LFFriedman @jswatz et al story exposing what happened. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/0... 3/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">">

So here& #39;s the action by Erik Noble against Craig McLean (for doing his job as chief scientist) that @cflav and @LFFriedman @nytclimate just revealed. So where did this young political operative come from? 4/

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So here& #39;s the action by Erik Noble against Craig McLean (for doing his job as chief scientist) that @cflav and @LFFriedman @nytclimate just revealed. So where did this young political operative come from? 4/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="So here& #39;s the action by Erik Noble against Craig McLean (for doing his job as chief scientist) that @cflav and @LFFriedman @nytclimate just revealed. So where did this young political operative come from? 4/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Through the & #39;00s, Noble was pursuing a career in climate and meteorological science, with degrees from Penn State and @CUBoulder and a heap of papers with top-notch coauthors many will recognize: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=8rEtj2oAAAAJ&hl=en">https://scholar.google.com/citations... 5/

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Through the & #39;00s, Noble was pursuing a career in climate and meteorological science, with degrees from Penn State and @CUBoulder and a heap of papers with top-notch coauthors many will recognize: https://scholar.google.com/citations... 5/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Through the & #39;00s, Noble was pursuing a career in climate and meteorological science, with degrees from Penn State and @CUBoulder and a heap of papers with top-notch coauthors many will recognize: https://scholar.google.com/citations... 5/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Erik Noble even gave a 2012 @NASAGISS lecture on his work on West African climate patterns: https://youtu.be/-Va206rytyQ?t=337">https://youtu.be/-Va206ryt... 6/

https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten"> https://youtu.be/-Va206rytyQ?t=337

Erik Noble even gave a 2012 @NASAGISS lecture on his work on West African climate patterns: https://youtu.be/-Va206ryt... 6/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

https://youtu.be/-Va206rytyQ?t=337" title="Erik Noble even gave a 2012 @NASAGISS lecture on his work on West African climate patterns: https://youtu.be/-Va206ryt... 6/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten"> https://youtu.be/-Va206rytyQ?t=337" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Erik Noble& #39;s climate research was being published in the scientific literature through 2016, as with this valuable assessment of weaknesses in a weather model over West Africa.

But that& #39;s when he changed course toward politics. https://journals.ametsoc.org/mwr/article/145/1/215/72618/The-Sensitivity-of-WRF-Daily-Summertime">https://journals.ametsoc.org/mwr/artic... 7/

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Erik Noble& #39;s climate research was being published in the scientific literature through 2016, as with this valuable assessment of weaknesses in a weather model over West Africa. But that& #39;s when he changed course toward politics. https://journals.ametsoc.org/mwr/artic... 7/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Erik Noble& #39;s climate research was being published in the scientific literature through 2016, as with this valuable assessment of weaknesses in a weather model over West Africa. But that& #39;s when he changed course toward politics. https://journals.ametsoc.org/mwr/artic... 7/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook page picks up the story as, in August, 2016, he moves from climate modeling to campaign modeling as part of @teamtrump& #39;s rapid-response data-sifting unit: 8/

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Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook page picks up the story as, in August, 2016, he moves from climate modeling to campaign modeling as part of @teamtrump& #39;s rapid-response data-sifting unit: 8/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook page picks up the story as, in August, 2016, he moves from climate modeling to campaign modeling as part of @teamtrump& #39;s rapid-response data-sifting unit: 8/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

By the way, I learned much of this when we intersected briefly while I was at @ProPublica reporting during the Trump transition, including on Jim Mattis& #39;s view that climate change was a growing threat to US interests. But Noble was not a story. Yet. https://www.propublica.org/article/trumps-defense-secretary-cites-climate-change-national-security-challenge">https://www.propublica.org/article/t... 9/

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By the way, I learned much of this when we intersected briefly while I was at @ProPublica reporting during the Trump transition, including on Jim Mattis& #39;s view that climate change was a growing threat to US interests. But Noble was not a story. Yet. https://www.propublica.org/article/t... 9/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="By the way, I learned much of this when we intersected briefly while I was at @ProPublica reporting during the Trump transition, including on Jim Mattis& #39;s view that climate change was a growing threat to US interests. But Noble was not a story. Yet. https://www.propublica.org/article/t... 9/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

From summer til election in 2016, Erik Noble was part of the data-crunching team trying to maximize the impact of every campaign dollar and minute of candidate Trump& #39;s days. This Forbes story on Kushner& #39;s machine gets at the dynamic: #769ebc973af6">https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevenbertoni/2016/11/22/exclusive-interview-how-jared-kushner-won-trump-the-white-house/ #769ebc973af6">https://www.forbes.com/sites/ste... And it worked! 10/

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Exclusive Interview: How Jared Kushner Won Trump The White House

The secret weapon of the Trump campaign: his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, who created a stealth data machine that leveraged social media and ran like a Silicon Valley startup. The inside story of the...

https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevenbertoni/2016/11/22/exclusive-interview-how-jared-kushner-won-trump-the-white-house/#769ebc973af6

Back to Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook journey. November 10, 2016, link to Bloomberg story: Trump’s Data Team Saw a Different America—and They Were Right https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-10/trump-s-data-team-saw-a-different-america-and-they-were-right">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti... And a weird but celebratory cake.11/

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Back to Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook journey. November 10, 2016, link to Bloomberg story: Trump’s Data Team Saw a Different America—and They Were Right https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti... And a weird but celebratory cake.11/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Back to Erik Noble& #39;s Facebook journey. November 10, 2016, link to Bloomberg story: Trump’s Data Team Saw a Different America—and They Were Right https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti... And a weird but celebratory cake.11/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">">

Some celebrating of course, for Erik Noble and the other rapid-response number crunchers. 12/

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" title="Some celebrating of course, for Erik Noble and the other rapid-response number crunchers. 12/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Then came the standard job transition for campaign heroes to good administration positions. (This is as true for Dems and Republicans of course.) Farewell campaign, December 2016. Hello @Nasa, January 2017. 13/

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Then came the standard job transition for campaign heroes to good administration positions. (This is as true for Dems and Republicans of course.) Farewell campaign, December 2016. Hello @Nasa, January 2017. 13/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Then came the standard job transition for campaign heroes to good administration positions. (This is as true for Dems and Republicans of course.) Farewell campaign, December 2016. Hello @Nasa, January 2017. 13/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Erik Noble began getting noticed by the press, but really only for the quirk of being a @GOP appointee with a climate PhD. And, as this @Wired sub-hed reflected, he hadn& #39;t done much yet: "Is this good news or bad? Unclear." https://www.wired.com/2017/01/trump-names-former-climate-scientist-erik-noble-nasa-advisory-role/?fbclid=IwAR2lAHZxoP6exedxRGTmuYwXY9-x9I3z6DXEu5GnI7r4AEb3sLa6450ue8I">https://www.wired.com/2017/01/t... 14/

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Erik Noble began getting noticed by the press, but really only for the quirk of being a @GOP appointee with a climate PhD. And, as this @Wired sub-hed reflected, he hadn& #39;t done much yet: "Is this good news or bad? Unclear." https://www.wired.com/2017/01/t... 14/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Erik Noble began getting noticed by the press, but really only for the quirk of being a @GOP appointee with a climate PhD. And, as this @Wired sub-hed reflected, he hadn& #39;t done much yet: "Is this good news or bad? Unclear." https://www.wired.com/2017/01/t... 14/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Then came the move to @NOAA as chief of staff, in September - here celebrated on Facebook. 15/

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" title="Then came the move to @NOAA as chief of staff, in September - here celebrated on Facebook. 15/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

Now Erik Noble is a headline. In one off-record phone call we had early in 2017, I was impressed with his life track & motivations. We all make career choices for a host of reasons. We all have great and tough moments. I wish him well. And I wish @NOAA& #39;s Craig McLean well. 16/

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Although Noble reached a much more powerful level, he reminds me of George Deutsch, a young GW Bush political appointee in @NASA Public Affairs who, in 2006, tried to keep @DrJamesEHansen off the radio. That didn& #39;t work. https://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/29/science/earth/climate-expert-says-nasa-tried-to-silence-him.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/2... 17/

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Although Noble reached a much more powerful level, he reminds me of George Deutsch, a young GW Bush political appointee in @NASA Public Affairs who, in 2006, tried to keep @DrJamesEHansen off the radio. That didn& #39;t work. https://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/2... 17/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=

" title="Although Noble reached a much more powerful level, he reminds me of George Deutsch, a young GW Bush political appointee in @NASA Public Affairs who, in 2006, tried to keep @DrJamesEHansen off the radio. That didn& #39;t work. https://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/2... 17/https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⤵️" title="Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigender Pfeil mit Krümmung nach unten">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>

One moral of this tale? #VOTE

https://abs.twimg.com/hashflags... draggable="false" alt=""> so the margin is sufficiently wide that no rapid-response modeling will matter. 18/18 ~

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