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Luton Town #LTFC
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👒" title="Damenhut" aria-label="Emoji: Damenhut"> https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🆚" title="Quadratisches VS" aria-label="Emoji: Quadratisches VS"> Nottingham Forest #NFFC https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🌲" title="Immergrüner Baum" aria-label="Emoji: Immergrüner Baum">
A Preview Threadhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔮" title="Kristallkugel" aria-label="Emoji: Kristallkugel">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧵" title="Thread" aria-label="Emoji: Thread">
Attempting to see the Forest for the trees...
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="9️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 9" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 9"> things Hatters fans should know about them and https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="5️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 5" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 5"> players to watch out for.
Thanks to @AnalyticsForest for the insight
A Preview Thread
Attempting to see the Forest for the trees...
Thanks to @AnalyticsForest for the insight
As you can see from @experimental361’s Expected Goals table below - after the first seven games they should be 6th (13 places higher than they actually are!).
. Forest are a lot better than their current league standing (19th) would have them appear. As you can see from @experimental361’s Expected Goals table below - after the first seven games they should be 6th (13 places higher than they actually are!)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">. Forest are a lot better than their current league standing (19th) would have them appear. As you can see from @experimental361’s Expected Goals table below - after the first seven games they should be 6th (13 places higher than they actually are!).">
. Forest are a lot better than their current league standing (19th) would have them appear. As you can see from @experimental361’s Expected Goals table below - after the first seven games they should be 6th (13 places higher than they actually are!)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="1️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 1" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 1">. Forest are a lot better than their current league standing (19th) would have them appear. As you can see from @experimental361’s Expected Goals table below - after the first seven games they should be 6th (13 places higher than they actually are!).">
Chris Hughton is in (Lamouchi is out)
In his first 3 games in charge he’s unbeaten, having won one (Blackburn) & drawn two (Rotherham & Derby).
Not too shabby when you consider they’d lost the previous 4 games under Lamouchi https://twitter.com/ChampBallers/status/1317506151093854208">https://twitter.com/ChampBall...
He rung in the changes and the result was a team that was very hard to create chances and take shots against.
As you can see from the stats below they really limited the previously free-scoring Blackburn (who only managed 0.4 xG).https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> https://twitter.com/StatsChristian/status/1317543366456913921">https://twitter.com/StatsChri...
As you can see from the stats below they really limited the previously free-scoring Blackburn (who only managed 0.4 xG).
Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City).
. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3">. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City).">
. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3">. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City).">
. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3">. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City).">
. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City)." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="3️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 3" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 3">. Their luck appears to be turning! https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍀" title="Vierblättriges Kleeblatt" aria-label="Emoji: Vierblättriges Kleeblatt">Here’s a look at how the xG timelines of the last four matches have played out (note that Lamouchi was in charge for the defeat to Bristol City).">
In terms of tidying things up Hughton has brought in the classic 4-4-2 and mixed and matched it with Lamouchi’s preferred 4-2-3-1.
Here’s how they’re most likely to line up against us...
. They& #39;re likely to play 4-4-2 OR 4-2-3-1In terms of tidying things up Hughton has brought in the classic 4-4-2 and mixed and matched it with Lamouchi’s preferred 4-2-3-1.Here’s how they’re most likely to line up against us..." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="4️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 4" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 4">. They& #39;re likely to play 4-4-2 OR 4-2-3-1In terms of tidying things up Hughton has brought in the classic 4-4-2 and mixed and matched it with Lamouchi’s preferred 4-2-3-1.Here’s how they’re most likely to line up against us...">
. They& #39;re likely to play 4-4-2 OR 4-2-3-1In terms of tidying things up Hughton has brought in the classic 4-4-2 and mixed and matched it with Lamouchi’s preferred 4-2-3-1.Here’s how they’re most likely to line up against us..." title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="4️⃣" title="Tastenkappe Ziffer 4" aria-label="Emoji: Tastenkappe Ziffer 4">. They& #39;re likely to play 4-4-2 OR 4-2-3-1In terms of tidying things up Hughton has brought in the classic 4-4-2 and mixed and matched it with Lamouchi’s preferred 4-2-3-1.Here’s how they’re most likely to line up against us...">
With the 4-2-3-1 being probable, as Grabban came off at HT against Derby so is likely to start on the bench.
And as for the 4-4-2 being a bit basic and shunned by most manager’s and fans...
to that Chris Hughton, it would seem, has only one responsehttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> https://twitter.com/AnalyticsForest/status/1319697200348319744">https://twitter.com/Analytics...
And as for the 4-4-2 being a bit basic and shunned by most manager’s and fans...
to that Chris Hughton, it would seem, has only one response
But as @DTathletic ponders in his brilliant article; will two out-and-out goal-scorers like Grabban and (our nemesis from years gone by) Lyle Taylor play nice as a pair?
He notes that in the 45 mins vs Derby they only passed to each other just once. https://twitter.com/TheAthleticUK/status/1319964354972774400">https://twitter.com/TheAthlet...
He notes that in the 45 mins vs Derby they only passed to each other just once. https://twitter.com/TheAthleticUK/status/1319964354972774400">https://twitter.com/TheAthlet...
Or at least it has been on average for Forest so far this season.
Hughton’s Forest have averaged 50% in the three games since his return (with Lamouchi’s an only slightly higher 53.5%) - according to @fbref.
Apart from against Blackburn where, as has already been said they limited their oppositions chances they, it’s interesting to note that they didn’t do this by not letting them have the ball (Forest only had 39% of the ball).
They’re a tidy lot - but not as tidy as us (well, it’s actually pretty close).
So far this season averaging a total of 382 passes per game with an accuracy of 79% - this is compared to our 388 per game with 81% accuracy.
Key highlights:
- Their CB pairing are competent distributors.
- Their wingers attempt ambitious crosses (lots of them) & their two CMs Yates & Arter are very neat.
Thanks, as always, to the brilliant @DymondFormation
Here’s a look at their most recent game https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🆚" title="Quadratisches VS" aria-label="Emoji: Quadratisches VS"> Derby (1-1)Key highlights:- Their CB pairing are competent distributors. - Their wingers attempt ambitious crosses (lots of them) & their two CMs Yates & Arter are very neat.Thanks, as always, to the brilliant @DymondFormation" title="https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔎" title="Nach rechts zeigende Lupe" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigende Lupe"> Here’s a look at their most recent game https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🆚" title="Quadratisches VS" aria-label="Emoji: Quadratisches VS"> Derby (1-1)Key highlights:- Their CB pairing are competent distributors. - Their wingers attempt ambitious crosses (lots of them) & their two CMs Yates & Arter are very neat.Thanks, as always, to the brilliant @DymondFormation" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
They’ve had the 4th highest shot count in the league - 91 (compared to us ranked 20th with just 62)
Grabban & Amoebi both making the top 15 in the league (both shot totals & per 90).
Can’t see this stopping with Lyle Taylor regaining match fitness.
162 of them so far - placing them top of the @Wyscout total crosses table
(for context Reading are bottom with just 45 and we are 10th with 105).
Side Note https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📝" title="Memo" aria-label="Emoji: Memo">
Judging by our penchant last season for conceding from crosses...
38 goals last season (73% of all the goals we conceded)
... we might want to focus on trying to stop them from doing this.
Judging by our penchant last season for conceding from crosses...
38 goals last season (73% of all the goals we conceded)
... we might want to focus on trying to stop them from doing this.
They& #39;re
Averaging over 29 per game (to our 24 - although our success rate is marginally higher).
Not surprising when you look at their wingers - Ameobi & Lolley being responsible for the majority of these.
& their midlands-based reunion should worry us
And he has a banger on him https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚀" title="Rakete" aria-label="Emoji: Rakete">
(FYI he& #39;s left footed - apparentlyhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😳" title="Errötetes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Errötetes Gesicht">) https://twitter.com/SkyBetChamp/status/1312679350836264962">https://twitter.com/SkyBetCha...
(FYI he& #39;s left footed - apparently
He isn& #39;t great at blocking shots / pushing strikers wide.
Or, at least, he didn& #39;t used to be
It worries me that @AnalyticsForest isn’t worried https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥺" title="Pleading face" aria-label="Emoji: Pleading face">https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> https://twitter.com/AnalyticsForest/status/1314584992333410305">https://twitter.com/Analytics...
