THREAD

It's time to familiarize yourself with Colorado's COVID-19 Dial Dashboard

(this is going to be in the news A LOT in the next week or so)

Here is link so you can follow along

#COVID19Colorado

https://covid19.colorado.gov/data/covid-19-dial/covid-19-dial-dashboard

There are essentially THREE stages
1.) Protect our Neighbors
2.) Safer at Home
3.) Stay at Home (lock down)

BUT
within "SAFER at HOME" there are three levels
1.) Cautious (blue)
2.) Concern (yellow)
3.) High Risk (orange)

Here is the chart

Here is where everyone is right now

(NOTE: Adams and Logan are ONLY counties listed in "Safer Level 3" -- although technically Adams will move to Level 3 on Wednesday)

The MAJORITY of counties are in "Safer at Home" levels 1 (blue) and 2 (yellow)

Here's the critical thing to know however.

The current status of a county is NOT indicative of what's taking place in the county right now.

Let's talk about 2 week incidence rates

A LOT of Colorado counties are having problems here

So here's the deal. When a county starts to get in trouble (likely with cases to begin with), CDPHE starts what I'll call a formal conversation with the county to tell that county, in essence, "Hey, you. Yeah, your numbers are going up..."

"You need to do something about that"

As of last week, these are the counties CDPHE told me it was having those conversations with

(Adams' plan clearly didn't resolve the problem in CDPHE's eye as it is now moving from Level 2 to Level 3)

CDPHE is giving counties what amounts to a grace period.

In essence saying, "Yeah, your numbers aren't good. What are you going to do to get them back down?"

It's why a week or so ago, Denver announced more regs when it comes to masks and gatherings. https://www.9news.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/denver-mayor-hancock-new-health-orders-covid-19-coronavirus-oct-16/73-f39f7734-df00-4d8a-a010-88936f801d57

BUT...

if the grace period comes and goes, CDPHE has shown (in cases of Adams and Logan) that it will move a county back.

And why is that a BIG DEAL?

Because there's a BIG difference between Safer at Home Level 2 and Level 3.

Look

A county will go from allowing 50% capacity in retail, restaurants, offices, and places of worship...

to allowing only 25%

Think of your favorite restaurant and how it might survive 25% capacity.

It's going to be challenging, at best .

And here's the rub.

Let's look at Denver County.

Currently in Level 2.

BUT...

it's 2 week incidence rate climbed over 350

379.8 to be precise

Why is that A BIG DEAL?

Because, technically, that incidence rate is at the STAY AT HOME LEVEL (remember that? When we are all cooped up inside?)

Now, this doesn't mean we are going back to that.

BUT... it does mean Denver's case rate is NOT getting better.

It will make it difficult for Denver to convince CDPHE this week to keep it at "Safer Level 2" (where we are right now... the yellow level)

And, as I said, you already know what going from Safer Level 2 to Safer Level 3 means

50% to 25%

Look for this issue to be a BIG issue moving forward.

Counties are now trying to convince CDPHE not to go backward.

But the numbers are making that difficult.

And this has implications for all sorts of aspects on your life

Schools, offices, churches, restaurants.

If your county moves backward on the dial... it WILL impact your life

So let's pay attention to the numbers. See where this is going.

Remember... don't get angry with me... I'm just the messenger.

But it's time to pay attention folks,