This is incredibly sad and bad news for the US.

In only 3 days, the 14-day average change in #COVID19 HOSPITALIZATIONS has skyrocketed from 7% to 15%!

This means hospitalizations are not simply increasing but accelerating upwards at a fast pace.

1/ https://twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1319119516517924864

For the 14 day average change to >double in only 3 days means that the actual current change is much more than 15% (to pull a 14-day change that far up in only 3 days means the past three days have seen remarkably large increases).

2/

This is not some fear tactic. This is peoples lives. This is the proper functioning of our healthcare system (already stretched to the brim at baseline).

We are only at the beginning of this “spike” and it could continue accelerating up for months!

3/

I don’t want to see everything close down again. I don’t want to see people spending their last days alone.

But if we do not start dealing w this properly today, we are going to be right where we were in April with cities closed and travel restricted. We can change our course.

Sorry - I misspoke - it’s perhaps worse - not hospitalizations - deaths! The pace of 14-day CHANGE of deaths has accelerated from 7% to 15%!

Sorry - I misspoke - it’s perhaps worse - not hospitalizations - deaths! The pace of 14-day CHANGE of deaths has accelerated from 7% to 15%!