Well it's been a long time since I made a map, but here y'all go! These are my personal ratings for the Missouri legislature with as few tossups as possible, based on candidate quality, fundraising, some election results, voting histories, and my own personal thoughts.

Insets of the STL and KC metro areas.

@ChazNuttycombe and the rest of the @CNalysis team have done a great job, but I am more favorable to Dems than they are. In HDs 16 and 106, located in the KC and STL suburbs respectively, I have Dems narrowly favored to take these seats, while Chaz has them as Tilt and Safe R.

We both agree that HDs 34 and 94, located in the KC and STL suburbs respectively, are favored to go D. In HD 34, where the Republican is an alleged abuser, I am more bullish than Chaz is (Lean D), while we both agree that HD94 (historically the most competitive in MO) is tilt D.

I put many races as Lean and Likely R. These include two Boone County area seats (47 and 44), a Jefferson County (ancestral D) seat just outside of STL (113), and three Kansas City suburban seats (13, 30 and 31).

When it comes to south/west St. Louis County races, I am biased because I indirectly worked for some of the candidates. I have most of these races as likely R, with the exception of HD 100. This race has a strong Dem candidate and was only narrowly lost by McCaskill.

I have one race left as a tossup, and that is HD 135 in Springfield. Both candidates are strong, but the Dem has significantly outraised the incumbent Rep in the last quarter. However, there is a decently funded Green candidate on the ballot, so I'm keeping the race as a tossup.

These are only my personal ratings, and I might be overlooking things... but as it stands, I see Dems picking up 4-5 seats as things stand. They would need to pick up 8 along with a Galloway win to end the supermajority.

@JMilesColeman @SenhorRaposa @NilesGApol @jrosenbaum @J_Hancock @KurtEricksonPD @henrytatkinson @WakeUp2Politics @JasonKander @elium2 @Thorongil16 @7th_ET @marquis_govan @SamWangPhD @Uncrewed