2. In this situation, the Armenian authorities,apart fr military activities, are making intensive diplomatic efforts to put pressure on Azerbaijan. Presid Sarkissyan held meetings in the EU & NATO & France, foreign min. of both states visiting (separately) Washington DC today.
4. Meanwhile, Russia is reluctant to engage more directly (de facto in defence of the Armenians). Minister Lavrov emphasized (Oct 14) that sending Russian "military observers" to the conflict area was possible only with the consent of both sides. President Putin said yesterday..
7. This effectively means Russia's "neutrality"(possibly except for arms transfers to Armenia) at least until Armenia's territory is under serious attack. In such a circumstance one should not expect effective ceasefire until/if Azerbeijan's offensive in Karabakh is stalled. END
P.S. Moscow is aware that the "lost war" in Karabakh could lead to another regime change in Armenia. However Russia seems to welcome such a scenario. The Kremlin has never trusted Pashinyan, who came to power in 2018 as a result of a revolution, with a partly pro-European agenda.
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