THREAD: What growing number of Iranian drills tell? Iran has conducted more military drills in 2020 than its average yearly drills in recent decades. Drills diversity & abundance have increased; ranging from combined exercises to specific force/task & even international one. /1
Growing Iranian drills tells how the regime& #39;s security is perceived. An open confrontation with Washington has reduced Tehran& #39;s capacity to manage internal social pressure while made the system more dependent on military means of defusing threats./2
It is not a positive outcome for Iran’s rivals. Why? Since to remedy limited finance, Tehran seeks to raise the efficiency of defense sector resources. The regime enjoys a broad consensus & bureaucratic synergy to deny the adversary& #39;s military as a core to survival strategy. /3
Iran& #39;s missile programs now perform advanced precision strikes & hypersonic capacity is underway while a path to longer-range missiles is followed. Also, Tehran substantially raised its standoff potential & diversified it A2/AD platforms on the see. /4
On suppressing air strikes, Tehran& #39;s idea is to defeat standoff threats & prevent electronic or physical saturation of its assets. It announced officially as the operational target for the recent joint air defence exercise. /5
Beyond the show of force or maintaining credible threat, Iranian drills& #39; pattern in 2020 aimed to incorporate & operationalize a range of capabilities that are growingly seen in Iranian military thoughts as critical capabilities to change US strategic assessment. /6
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