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THREAD: What growing number of Iranian drills tell? Iran has conducted more military drills in 2020 than its average yearly drills in recent decades. Drills diversity & abundance have increased; ranging from combined exercises to specific force/task & even international one. /1
Growing Iranian drills tells how the regime's security is perceived. An open confrontation with Washington has reduced Tehran's capacity to manage internal social pressure while made the system more dependent on military means of defusing threats./2
It is not a positive outcome for Iran’s rivals. Why? Since to remedy limited finance, Tehran seeks to raise the efficiency of defense sector resources. The regime enjoys a broad consensus & bureaucratic synergy to deny the adversary's military as a core to survival strategy. /3
Iran's missile programs now perform advanced precision strikes & hypersonic capacity is underway while a path to longer-range missiles is followed. Also, Tehran substantially raised its standoff potential & diversified it A2/AD platforms on the see. /4
On suppressing air strikes, Tehran's idea is to defeat standoff threats & prevent electronic or physical saturation of its assets. It announced officially as the operational target for the recent joint air defence exercise. /5
Beyond the show of force or maintaining credible threat, Iranian drills' pattern in 2020 aimed to incorporate & operationalize a range of capabilities that are growingly seen in Iranian military thoughts as critical capabilities to change US strategic assessment. /6
