The Giants win probability w/ 7:05 in the 2Q was 83%. They kicked a field goal to make it 13-3 after a 4th & goal, their win probability went down to 81.9%
12:34 in the 3Q, Giants win probability was 73.4%. After the punt on a 4th&2 from WAS 38, their probability fell to 66.6%

There is a reason why I call field goals glorified turnovers. Despite putting points on the board, they mostly help the other team more than your own. And in terms of the punt from the WAS 38, if you have confidence in your defense, why even think about punting?