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The HSE published a report in August relating to the mass testing of asymptomatic individuals. It was “Approved by the Pandemic Incident Control Team August 14th 2020”
The report indicates that NPHETs reproductive value is highly inaccurate & the...
The HSE published a report in August relating to the mass testing of asymptomatic individuals. It was “Approved by the Pandemic Incident Control Team August 14th 2020”
The report indicates that NPHETs reproductive value is highly inaccurate & the...
...detection of a viable virus @ >34 cycles is unlikely.
This is in stark contrast to NPHET's (which includes HSE representation) ideology of testing everyone all the time.
The report in full can be found here:
https://www.hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coronavirus/novelcoronavirus/guidance/outbreakmanagementguidance/PCR%20weak%20results%20guidance.pdf
It opens with a statement that the...
This is in stark contrast to NPHET's (which includes HSE representation) ideology of testing everyone all the time.
The report in full can be found here:
https://www.hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coronavirus/novelcoronavirus/guidance/outbreakmanagementguidance/PCR%20weak%20results%20guidance.pdf
It opens with a statement that the...
...Scientific community have been reporting for months.
Non-infectious viral fragments are being detected in people up to 19 weeks after infection.
The assumption made by the HSE from this is:
“someone who has ever had a previous positive test should not be retested unless...
Non-infectious viral fragments are being detected in people up to 19 weeks after infection.
The assumption made by the HSE from this is:
“someone who has ever had a previous positive test should not be retested unless...
they develop symptoms”
This is to cut down on the no of FPs being reported.
The HSE then validate the widely held belief that individual cases are being counted multiple times:
“the recent implementation of mass testing programmes… …has led to the detection of RNA...
This is to cut down on the no of FPs being reported.
The HSE then validate the widely held belief that individual cases are being counted multiple times:
“the recent implementation of mass testing programmes… …has led to the detection of RNA...
... (at a low level) who had a previously documented... SARS-CoV-2 infection between March and June”
The report goes on to address weak positive high Ct value PCR results in asymptomatic individuals (FP).
Their guidance:
"Testing of asymptomatic people should generally...
The report goes on to address weak positive high Ct value PCR results in asymptomatic individuals (FP).
Their guidance:
"Testing of asymptomatic people should generally...
...be avoided unless there is a clear clinical indication or a specific requirement based on a nationally mandated policy.”
Point 1 is key - testing of asymptomatic people should be avoided. However this is dependent on NPHET policy which at the moment is the complete opposite.
Point 1 is key - testing of asymptomatic people should be avoided. However this is dependent on NPHET policy which at the moment is the complete opposite.
Point 2 - do not retest previously confirmed asymptomatic individuals.
Point 3 - Cycle counts are key to understanding infection; if high (>30) no infection; if low (<30) potential infection.
The HSE then propose a way of evaluating High Ct (>30) positive results.
Point 3 - Cycle counts are key to understanding infection; if high (>30) no infection; if low (<30) potential infection.
The HSE then propose a way of evaluating High Ct (>30) positive results.
Any sample testing positive @ >30 Ct should be retested on a separate assay platform.
They then state that if the 2nd test is negative the original result should not be notified, ie added to the daily figures.
They then state that if the 2nd test is negative the original result should not be notified, ie added to the daily figures.
Likewise if the 2nd test is also positive but the Ct value at detection has increased "The result does not need to be notified to public health" and as such be added to the daily figures.
The report then casts doubt...
The report then casts doubt...
...on all newly detected PCR "cases":
"... it is not possible...to ascertain whether the viral load is on the way up (early infection) or on the way down "
Again this much clearer understanding of the PCR process is at complete odds with that of NPHET.
"... it is not possible...to ascertain whether the viral load is on the way up (early infection) or on the way down "
Again this much clearer understanding of the PCR process is at complete odds with that of NPHET.
The Reports Appendix provides more fascinating insights.
Amongst others here are some highlights
2. PCR does not distinguish between viable virus and non-infectious RNA
9. There are very few reports of viable SARS-CoV-2 virus being retrieved in culture from
clinical...
Amongst others here are some highlights
2. PCR does not distinguish between viable virus and non-infectious RNA
9. There are very few reports of viable SARS-CoV-2 virus being retrieved in culture from
clinical...
...specimens with a Ct value of >34
This has been confirmed by other recent studies including:
https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1491/5912603
It essentially means without knowing the Ct value each result triggers at renders a case meaningless.
If NPHET has this data it does not release it but I...
This has been confirmed by other recent studies including:
https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1491/5912603
It essentially means without knowing the Ct value each result triggers at renders a case meaningless.
If NPHET has this data it does not release it but I...
...suspect they either don't have this data or if they do don't take account of it in their unproven software models.
The message is clear from this HSE produced report - case numbers emanating from the current testing regime are misleading.
NPHET's 'R' number is calculated...
The message is clear from this HSE produced report - case numbers emanating from the current testing regime are misleading.
NPHET's 'R' number is calculated...
...from current case numbers. It is clear from this HSE report current case numbers are inaccurate & are potentially wildly inaccurate. This therefore means NPHET's R number is inaccurate.
Which all leads to the undeniable fact we have been placed into Level 5 lockdown based...
Which all leads to the undeniable fact we have been placed into Level 5 lockdown based...
...on inaccurate data going in to and coming out of unproven software models.
This also begs the question as to what goes on in the NPHET meetings - the HSE are represented yet this hugely important report appears to have been ignored.
This also begs the question as to what goes on in the NPHET meetings - the HSE are represented yet this hugely important report appears to have been ignored.
