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This made me smile. I think seriously they simply weren't aware that CROSS IMMUNITY is actually REALLY COMMON.
Recall Edward Jenner vaccinated a boy with cowpox. He was then immune to smallpox, a related virus.
This is all anyone is saying. 30% of us had immunity to SARS-CoV-2... https://twitter.com/Wokeman8/status/1318633629690564608
Recall Edward Jenner vaccinated a boy with cowpox. He was then immune to smallpox, a related virus.
This is all anyone is saying. 30% of us had immunity to SARS-CoV-2... https://twitter.com/Wokeman8/status/1318633629690564608
...because we'd seen off related viruses in the past.
Best summary is BMJ: https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563
Not so novel coronavirus?
At least six studies have reported T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 in 20% to 50% of people with no known exposure to the virus.
Best summary is BMJ: https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563
Not so novel coronavirus?
At least six studies have reported T cell reactivity against SARS-CoV-2 in 20% to 50% of people with no known exposure to the virus.
OK. So, there was 30% pre-immunity. That means once far fewer people had been infected, herd immunity would be reached. SAGE says 7% infected. I referred to a paper by currently THE WORLD'S MOST CITED SCIENTIST. I calculate 32% infected in UK.
The remaining % susceptible is key..
The remaining % susceptible is key..
....SAGE says its 93%. I say its under 40% and perhaps under 30%. Once under 40%, the pandemic stops.
I believe UK is over herd immunity. The so-called 'cases' data are FALSE POSITIVES. Once you accept false positives are a thing, surely we need to know its RATE %? Hancock was...
I believe UK is over herd immunity. The so-called 'cases' data are FALSE POSITIVES. Once you accept false positives are a thing, surely we need to know its RATE %? Hancock was...
...asked today in the House by Peter Bone about this and like in summer time, Hancock gave a non-answer. Last time this was a public issue, Julia H-B forced a confession from him and it was the % that I had calculated applied at the time. I'm saying no more than this today.
This is all I'm saying now. This time, I believe the FPR is much higher because (i) vastly more tests, still prepared by hand, half a million a day!! (ii) far less experienced staff and high staff turnover, (iii) higher background of cross reacting common colds, some of which...
...light up in PCR. Not many, perhaps 3%. Overall my expectation is 3%-5% false positive rate. 300k tests a day means 9000 - 15000 false positives. Roughly what we are seeing. I say now as I said in summer: "Mr Hancock, prove me wrong. Disclose the FPR & documentary proof".
IF I AM CORRECT and FPR is 5%, almost all the 'cases' are an artefact. I know people are ill, go to hospital and some die. That doesn't mean its covid-19. There are very many respiratory viruses increasing in October. We usually measure NONE of them. For me, the crunching fact...
...that cannot be ignored is this. THERE IS NOW NO EXCESS DEATH signal. Whitty himself said, you'll be able to discern the ending of covid-19 when excess deaths fade out. They have done. The swab PCR 'cases' are an artefact. The pandemic is OVER.
The underlying population dynamics in UK are identical to those in Sweden and both countries suffered population fatalities of 0.06%. The daily deaths vs time curves are identical. Theirs has finished. Ours, too. If you discount the testing artefact. I so submit.
No excess deaths is NOT saying ‘there are no deaths’. Sadly, there are always deaths, but the numbers are entirely normal fir our country for the time of year.
Most people have no reason to know this, but 1700 people die every day in UK. All causes mortality is normal right now.
Most people have no reason to know this, but 1700 people die every day in UK. All causes mortality is normal right now.
I suggest that fact is COMPLETELY INCONSISTENT with SAGE’s fearmongering that there is a lethal pandemic stalking the land.
Now, the deaths data isn’t an opinion. It’s fact. And it’s normal for the time of year.
Something doesn’t add up. It’s SAGE’s maths. I think they actually
Now, the deaths data isn’t an opinion. It’s fact. And it’s normal for the time of year.
Something doesn’t add up. It’s SAGE’s maths. I think they actually
...believe their own PR.
But this has got to stop now. Even if you think I’m wrong about the false positives. Herd immunity is a thing, and it’s reached once too few people remain susceptible. If you’re immune from prior fighting off a related virus, or having fought off this...
But this has got to stop now. Even if you think I’m wrong about the false positives. Herd immunity is a thing, and it’s reached once too few people remain susceptible. If you’re immune from prior fighting off a related virus, or having fought off this...
...one, you are now immune, that is how immunity works. In every heavily infected European country, we saw the same time course of deaths. A rapid rise, a long tail. Only in countries which then went mad with mass testing of the well population have any kind of #SecondaryRipple
It is to be expected that immunity is robust & durable. Immunity in SARS survivors from 2003 was confirmed as still working this year, 17y later. Those people were also immune to SARS-COV-2. Cross immunity again. Because SARS-COV-2 mutates slowly compared to ‘flu, I much doubt...
...very many people will require a vaccine. And it’s absolutely not required to vaccinate the population. Most people are immune or are not susceptible.
The good news is that COVID-19 cannot return.
The good news is that COVID-19 cannot return.
