Few notes on my team ratings through 5GWs. My ratings are a combination of shot based formula and xG data from US, FBRef, and Opta. Haven't done too much analysis on predictive power of the ratings but they do accurately reflect what has happened. That's enough for me w/r/t FPL.

The ratings include schedule adjustments but early those adjustments aren't very accurate. It's difficult after just 5 games to know how much of a team's performance is a reflection of opposition quality. That will get better over time as more samples are achieved.

This is raw data from this season only. For FPL planning purposes I incorporate previous season data until we get enough sample to ignore. For this thread I am ignoring those factors.