Few notes on my team ratings through 5GWs. My ratings are a combination of shot based formula and xG data from US, FBRef, and Opta. Haven& #39;t done too much analysis on predictive power of the ratings but they do accurately reflect what has happened. That& #39;s enough for me w/r/t FPL.
The ratings include schedule adjustments but early those adjustments aren& #39;t very accurate. It& #39;s difficult after just 5 games to know how much of a team& #39;s performance is a reflection of opposition quality. That will get better over time as more samples are achieved.
This is raw data from this season only. For FPL planning purposes I incorporate previous season data until we get enough sample to ignore. For this thread I am ignoring those factors.
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