BREAKING—Huge CDC study says #COVID19 not only caused 285,000 excess deaths— but CDC also found, surprisingly, that it has struck 25-44-year-olds very hard: Their “excess death” rate is up 26.5% over previous years, the largest change for any age group! https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/coronavirus-excess-deaths/2020/10/20/1e1d77c6-12e1-11eb-ba42-ec6a580836ed_story.html

2) ““The number of people dying from this pandemic is higher than we think,” said Steven Woolf at Virginia Commonwealth University, who has conducted independent analyses of excess mortality. “This study shows it. Others have as well.”

3) “The data cover the period Feb. 1 to Sept. 16, meaning that excess deaths have almost certainly reached 300,000. Woolf said they are likely to hit 400,000 by the end of the year. The numbers were assembled by the National Center for Health Statistics, a unit of the CDC.”

4) detailed thread of the key findings with figures https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1318614425033756674

5) Here is the excess Covid mortality by age groups. Young adults 25-44 had the largest excess mortality overall - hitting 50% in mid July. The first March-April wave’s 1st peak hit elderly the hardest. But 2nd peak hit young adults more. #COVID19

6) Hispanic & Black and Asian minorities all exceeded 100% increase over baseline in March and April. Non-Hispanic whites was under 40%. In the second peak in summer 2020, Hispanics were hit the hardest. But black, Asian & Native American suffered 50% excess.

7) “Overall, an estimated 299,028 excess deaths occurred from late January through October 3, 2020, with 198,081 (66%) excess deaths attributed to COVID-19. The largest percentage increases were seen among adults aged 25–44 years and among Hispanic or Latino persons.”

8) Nota bene: even though ~1/3 of the excess deaths were not directly coded as from COVID19–A) there is a lot of underdiagnosis and B) a lot of spillover mortality from overwhelmed hospital that can’t treat other chronic and emergency illness also are indirect #COVID19 deaths.

9) this new CDC study independently confirms the earlier VCU study last week with almost the same estimate. This excess mortality around 300k is real folks. #COVID19 https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1316172316028686337