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The implication @arpitrage draws from his striking research on migration & COVID parallels something I've been thinking since the start of this:
regional epidemics may be manageable. When new sparks take hold all the time, the epidemic has little geographic structure and so
1/ https://twitter.com/arpitrage/status/1318222542247759876
regional epidemics may be manageable. When new sparks take hold all the time, the epidemic has little geographic structure and so
1/ https://twitter.com/arpitrage/status/1318222542247759876
no regional policy can hope to do much.
Now, as this paper shows, even WITH regional policies, naive management faces lots of obstacles. But effective transit controls are a big complement to natural regional policies.
2/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.10745
Now, as this paper shows, even WITH regional policies, naive management faces lots of obstacles. But effective transit controls are a big complement to natural regional policies.
2/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.10745
Since long- and medium-distance travel is responsible for the spread of the epidemic across regions, you would think planners would be extremely interested in assessing the externalities and charging appropriate prices... the fact that we see nothing like this seems strange.
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