Discussions w pollster Rich Baris & info from Bill Cahaly (two most accurate pollsters);
*Fl out of reach for Biteme (Trump now over +3)
*PA close, Trump down 2, but internals jiggly: Trump now up SIX with indies; up from 2016 with blacks.

My inference:
*Baris STILL not comfortable finding the "shy Trump" voter. Has inserted MULTIPLE questions (who will your neighbor vote for, have you ever felt intimidated about your beliefs, ect).

Love these guys buy my gut tells me Trump is slightly ahead. Baris says Trump was asked . . .
repeatedly by donor about PA and only said "we're doing good." Wouldn't commit to being "up" by an amount as he has with NV, AZ, NC, FL.

So we'll see.

OH is way, way out of reach for Biteme. 8 points min.

IA out of reach. Margin may be smaller but no way to bridge it.
*According to Baris, if Trump gets just 1 more point with indies, he wins PA.

*Ahead of where he was in 2016 at this same date.

Also, before Hunter Biteme scandal.
Now, you pearl clutchers. I gave it to you straight.

DO NOT bombard me with "whatabouts" and "Whatifs".

I have stated I think Trump gets 320-340 EVs, wins pop vote. I do think a LOT of states will be close, but all go the same way (as they did in 2016).
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