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OK, so from my interviews with a ton of epidemiologists over the last bunch of months, here& #39;s a pretty straightforward plan to suppress the virus and get the US to something like, say, 90% of normal life. Three steps!
1) Mask Up: Short of a national order (which strikes me as tough, enforcement-wise) getting all governors to issue state-wide mask orders would be enormously helpful. Messaging is vital. CDC data shows how important AZ& #39;s order was in suppressing its summer outbreak.
2) Bar Rescue: Have the federal government pay every last bar, restaurant, nightclub, theatre and concert venue to stay closed for the next nine months. You& #39;d remove *enormous* pressure to reopen things that aren& #39;t safe, and it probably pays for itself.
3) National Test, Trace and Surveillance: This is the most complicated to stand up, but one way to think of the goal is: what if every place people had to congregate was like the NBA bubble? A number of universities have used this approach and it& #39;s...worked!
And that& #39;s it! Those three things: masks, pay high-risk businesses to stay closed, massively ramp up testing. We could avoid tens of thousands of deaths and have something much closer to our normal lives.
