Read on Twitter
The results of our crowdsourced SurveyUSA Indiana poll are officially in, showing a single-digit presidential race, strong support for cannabis legalization and Roe v. Wade, and much more! Read the thread below for results and analysis! Link with crosstabs at the end. (1/25)
As a primer, SurveyUSA divides Indiana into four distinct regions for crosstab analysis. I& #39;ve created this graphic to help visualize these four regions, along with the 2018 US Senate results by region for comparison, which show the benchmarks each party needs to reach. (2/25)
US President (Indiana)
Donald Trump (R): 49%
Joe Biden (D): 42%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 6%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(3/25)
Donald Trump (R): 49%
Joe Biden (D): 42%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 6%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(3/25)
US President (Indiana by Region and % of Vote)
Northern (34%): Trump 49-39
Central (17%): Trump 58-29
Indianapolis (26%): Biden 56-35
Southern (23%): Trump 59-40
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(4/25)
Northern (34%): Trump 49-39
Central (17%): Trump 58-29
Indianapolis (26%): Biden 56-35
Southern (23%): Trump 59-40
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(4/25)
(Asked 259 Trump Voters)
Is yours more a vote for Trump? Or against Biden?
For Trump: 82%
Against Biden: 16%
Not Sure: 2%
(Asked 220 Biden Voters)
Is yours more a vote for Biden? Or against Trump?
For Biden: 56%
Against Trump: 39%
Not Sure: 4%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
(5/25)
Is yours more a vote for Trump? Or against Biden?
For Trump: 82%
Against Biden: 16%
Not Sure: 2%
(Asked 220 Biden Voters)
Is yours more a vote for Biden? Or against Trump?
For Biden: 56%
Against Trump: 39%
Not Sure: 4%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
(5/25)
The president numbers squarely fit my suspicion that Biden is in the 42-46% range. Notably, Biden is winning the Indianapolis Metro 56-35 (Donnelly only won it 51-45 in 2018). If Biden is approaching 60% here, Christina Hale is likely winning #IN05. (6/25) https://twitter.com/AndrewPEllison/status/1314321089477177345">https://twitter.com/AndrewPEl...
Governor (Indiana)
Eric Holcomb (R): 55%
Woody Myers (D): 25%
Donald Rainwater (L): 10%
Undecided: 11%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(7/25)
Eric Holcomb (R): 55%
Woody Myers (D): 25%
Donald Rainwater (L): 10%
Undecided: 11%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(7/25)
Governor (Indiana by Region and % of Vote)
Northern (34%): Holcomb 57-23-9
Central (17%): Holcomb 54-18-11
Indianapolis (26%): Holcomb 50-31-11
Southern (23%): Holcomb 56-26-9
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(8/25)
Northern (34%): Holcomb 57-23-9
Central (17%): Holcomb 54-18-11
Indianapolis (26%): Holcomb 50-31-11
Southern (23%): Holcomb 56-26-9
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(8/25)
Holcomb& #39;s numbers are holding up despite some backlash to his mask mandate. He& #39;s winning 37% of black voters, 31% of Biden voters, and even the Indianapolis metro 50-31-11. Holcomb might win Marion County. Rainwater& #39;s 10% would also be a historic Libertarian performance. (9/25)
Attorney General (Indiana)
Todd Rokita (R): 48%
Jonathan Weinzapfel (D): 35%
Undecided: 17%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(10/25)
Todd Rokita (R): 48%
Jonathan Weinzapfel (D): 35%
Undecided: 17%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(10/25)
Attorney General (Indiana by Region and % of Vote)
Northern (34%): Rokita 52-31
Central (17%): Rokita 56-22
Indianapolis (26%): Weinzapfel 47-41
Southern (23%): Rokita 46-35
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(11/25)
Northern (34%): Rokita 52-31
Central (17%): Rokita 56-22
Indianapolis (26%): Weinzapfel 47-41
Southern (23%): Rokita 46-35
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(11/25)
Weinzapfel is meeting Joe Donnelly& #39;s 2018 margin in the Indianapolis Metro and is even doing a little better in Southern Indiana. The problem is that Rokita is running up the score in Central and Northern Indiana, where Weinzapfel& #39;s name recognition is relatively lower. (12/25)
Which one of these 5 issues is most important in casting your 2020 ballot?
Economy: 38% (Trump 70-22)
Healthcare: 21% (Biden 61-32)
COVID-19: 20% (Biden 72-21)
Racial Inequality: 4% (N/A)
Crime and Safety: 13% (Trump 68-16)
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(13/25)
Economy: 38% (Trump 70-22)
Healthcare: 21% (Biden 61-32)
COVID-19: 20% (Biden 72-21)
Racial Inequality: 4% (N/A)
Crime and Safety: 13% (Trump 68-16)
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
527 Likely Voters
(13/25)
Approval and Favorable Ratings (Indiana)
Donald Trump (R): 51-46
Joe Biden (D): 45-51
Eric Holcomb (R): 67-24
Woody Myers (D): 26-21
Donald Rainwater (L): 18-14
Mike Pence (R): 51-41
Pete Buttigieg (D): 37-31
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
757 Registered Voters
(14/25)
Donald Trump (R): 51-46
Joe Biden (D): 45-51
Eric Holcomb (R): 67-24
Woody Myers (D): 26-21
Donald Rainwater (L): 18-14
Mike Pence (R): 51-41
Pete Buttigieg (D): 37-31
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
757 Registered Voters
(14/25)
Biden& #39;s numbers are pretty decent overall, including 56-37 favorables in the Indianapolis Metro. Trump is underwater 40-59 in the Indy Metro by comparison. Holcomb maintains a very robust approval rating. Buttigieg has good favs and could run for Gov/Senate in the future. (15/25)
Should marijuana in Indiana remain illegal? Be legalized for medical use but remain illegal for recreational use? Or be legalized for both?
Remain Illegal: 16%
Legalized for Medical: 24%
Legalized for Both: 53%
Not Sure: 8%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
900 Adults
(16/25)
Remain Illegal: 16%
Legalized for Medical: 24%
Legalized for Both: 53%
Not Sure: 8%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
900 Adults
(16/25)
This is an incredibly notable result, particularly because legislative Republicans have staunchly opposed any efforts to end Indiana& #39;s prohibition of cannabis. Only 28% of Republicans support full illegality, with a 43% Republican plurality supporting full legalization. (17/25)
Do you approve? Or, do you disapprove? Of the requirement that Indiana residents continue to wear facemasks in public spaces?
Strongly Approve: 52%
Somewhat Approve: 23%
Somewhat Disapprove: 11%
Strongly Disapprove: 11%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
900 Adults
(18/25)
Strongly Approve: 52%
Somewhat Approve: 23%
Somewhat Disapprove: 11%
Strongly Disapprove: 11%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
900 Adults
(18/25)
This is another notable result, especially as @GovHolcomb considers his approach to COVID-19 regulations going forward. A vocal minority of conservative activists have loudly opposed his mask mandate, but most voters approve of it, including Republicans by a 63-35 spread. (19/25)
(Asked 615 Adults Familiar with Roe v. Wade)
Should Roe v. Wade remain the law of the land? Or, should Roe v. Wade be overturned?
Remain Law of Land: 58%
Be Overturned: 27%
Not Sure: 15%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
(20/25)
Should Roe v. Wade remain the law of the land? Or, should Roe v. Wade be overturned?
Remain Law of Land: 58%
Be Overturned: 27%
Not Sure: 15%
10/8-10/13 by SurveyUSA
(20/25)
This is excellent evidence of how question wording can give you entirely different answers! In this group, 40% identify as pro-life; 30% are pro-choice; 27% are in the middle. 91% of pro-choice adults support Roe predictably, but 31% of pro-life adults support Roe too! (21/25)
It& #39;s hard to overstate how out on a limb Republicans are on Roe v. Wade. Only 42% of Indiana Republicans want it overturned, with 37% wanting it to remain. Even among evangelical adults, there is only 45-37 support for overturning Roe. It would be disastrous for the GOP. (22/25)
My main takeaways from this Indiana survey:
1.) Voters softly support Trump, but it could become a tossup
2.) Holcomb still gets high marks on his way to a historic re-election
3.) Voters want cannabis legalized
4.) Voters strongly support mask mandate and Roe v. Wade
(23/25)
1.) Voters softly support Trump, but it could become a tossup
2.) Holcomb still gets high marks on his way to a historic re-election
3.) Voters want cannabis legalized
4.) Voters strongly support mask mandate and Roe v. Wade
(23/25)
Thank you to everyone who contributed to the crowdfunding effort that made this survey possible. I am so incredibly grateful to everyone who believed in this effort and gave what they could to help everyone learn how Hoosiers feel about this election! (24/25)
To read SurveyUSA& #39;s write-up of these survey results, as well as the full crosstabs of these results, please use the link below. Thank you for following along and giving the Hoosier state a bit of your time! (25/25)
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b43d4853-1fb2-40f3-9d2d-9ccee830cd99">https://www.surveyusa.com/client/Po...
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b43d4853-1fb2-40f3-9d2d-9ccee830cd99">https://www.surveyusa.com/client/Po...
