I leave it to the experts to parse the methodology but anybody who has examined surveys of Jewish sentiment in the past decade has seen a divergence in views between the Orthodox minority and the present Non-Orthodox majority of American Jews. https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1316376929193332736

This is why when we're talking about trends in Jewish politics it's more accurate to think of it in communal composition terms.

Liberal Jews aren't becoming conservative so much as Orthodox Jews are growing as a percentage of American Jews.

My r/hottake is that as Orthodox Jews grow in absolute numbers they will experience the same kind of fractures that we have witnessed in the past.

Saying what the Orthodox voting preferences will be in a generation based on present politics is a fool's errand.

And to the points Johnny raised below, my instinct is that this survey is overstating Orthodox support for Trump. Other surveys from more credible sources show a smaller majority of Orthodox support for Trump. https://twitter.com/johnkunza/status/1316394483341299720?s=19