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This level of infection can't continue forever in Northern Ireland and the good news is, it won't.
But their recent numbers just keep powering to new records and they've now breached a 600.0 14-day incidence, which depending on Czech update tomorrow, is the worst in the world.
But their recent numbers just keep powering to new records and they've now breached a 600.0 14-day incidence, which depending on Czech update tomorrow, is the worst in the world.
14-day cases per 100,000:
NI: 605.7
ROI: 173.3
Derry City & Strabane: 1,664.6
Belfast: 826.1
Mid-Ulster: 707.0
Newry & Mourne: 684.9
Lisburn & Castelreagh: 437.4
Antrim & Newtonabbey: 430.4
Cavan: 412.2
Fermanagh & Omagh: 404.0
Causeway & Glens: 359.8
Donegal: 354.9
NI: 605.7
ROI: 173.3
Derry City & Strabane: 1,664.6
Belfast: 826.1
Mid-Ulster: 707.0
Newry & Mourne: 684.9
Lisburn & Castelreagh: 437.4
Antrim & Newtonabbey: 430.4
Cavan: 412.2
Fermanagh & Omagh: 404.0
Causeway & Glens: 359.8
Donegal: 354.9
When you actually think what that number means in Derry, it's actually mind boggling.
It would be statistically improbable to just go about your week without encountering someone who has the virus in Derry, as the level of infection is at near-pervasive levels.
It would be statistically improbable to just go about your week without encountering someone who has the virus in Derry, as the level of infection is at near-pervasive levels.
One of the key problems that gets little coverage is Northern Ireland has 66 ongoing nursing home outbreaks (56 confirmed, 10 suspected).
That's 1-in-every-7 care homes and that's going to lead to a lot of deaths.
It'll happen here too if infection keeps rising.
That's 1-in-every-7 care homes and that's going to lead to a lot of deaths.
It'll happen here too if infection keeps rising.
That's not a knock on the politicians or nursing home staff up North, because I keep track of it all in Europe and the virus is getting back in everywhere.
France has nearly 400 recent nursing home outbreaks on their plate, and hundreds more in Spain, UK, Belgium, Netherlands.
France has nearly 400 recent nursing home outbreaks on their plate, and hundreds more in Spain, UK, Belgium, Netherlands.
The only proven way to protect nursing homes is to reduce cases in the community.
It's a practical impossibility at levels like 600.0 for it not to get in to many nursing homes.
A 14-day incidence of 600.0 and positivity rate near 20%, is an endemic level of infection.
It's a practical impossibility at levels like 600.0 for it not to get in to many nursing homes.
A 14-day incidence of 600.0 and positivity rate near 20%, is an endemic level of infection.
I'm not sure about the rationale for waiting until having the worst outbreak on the planet to try a 'circuit breaker'.
I'm sure there is logic behind it but our CMO suggested Level 5 closer to 100.0 per 100,000 and they waited until 600.0, so that's a wide divergence of opinion.
I'm sure there is logic behind it but our CMO suggested Level 5 closer to 100.0 per 100,000 and they waited until 600.0, so that's a wide divergence of opinion.
Hospital levels are 50% of the April peak and that's one of the highest proportions in Europe.
The Czech's largely avoided the Spring wave, so their hospital numbers are far worse than April, but it's pretty much all bad news for Northern Ireland every way you analyze this.
The Czech's largely avoided the Spring wave, so their hospital numbers are far worse than April, but it's pretty much all bad news for Northern Ireland every way you analyze this.
It must also be a given that there was some degree of spillover into Donegal, Cavan and Monaghan.
Otherwise it would be a tremendous coincidence that the 3 worst-affected areas in Ireland are at the border.
I hope all of it improves quickly, it definitely needs to.
Otherwise it would be a tremendous coincidence that the 3 worst-affected areas in Ireland are at the border.
I hope all of it improves quickly, it definitely needs to.
