Thread by @BallotBoxScot, New Scottish Parliament List vote poll, Ipsos MORI 2-9 Oct (changes vs [...]

Ballot Box Scotland

BallotBoxScot

New Scottish Parliament List vote poll, Ipsos MORI 2-9 Oct (changes vs 2016 Election);

SNP - 47% (+5)
Con - 19% (-4)
Lab - 13% (-6)
Grn - 9% (+2)
LD - 8% (+3)

First poll of Holyrood VI Ipsos MORI have done since 2016.

New Scottish Parliament Constituency vote poll, Ipsos MORI 2-9 Oct (changes vs 2016 Election);

SNP - 58% (+11)
Con - 19% (-3)
Lab - 13% (-10)
LD - 8% (nc)
Grn - 1% (nc)

Ipsos MORI poll 2-9 Oct projected into seats (changes vs 2016 election)

SNP - 72 (+9)
Conservative - 23 (-8)
Labour - 16 (-8)
Green - 10 (+4)
Lib Dem - 8 (+3)

(Caveats: http://ballotbox.scot/projections )

Doing the hypothetical "what if we used actual PR rather than the weirdo mix that is AMS?" Scandi-style projection (changes vs AMS);

SNP - 63 (-9)
Conservative - 25 (+2)
Labour - 17 (+1)
Green - 13 (+3)
Lib Dem - 11 (+3)

New Independence Poll, Ipsos MORI 2-9 Oct (changes vs 25 Nov '19);

Yes - 55% (+7)
No - 39% (-9)
Don't Know - 6% (+2)

Excluding Don't Knows;
Yes - 58% (+8)
No - 42% (-8)

For-fun US Projection vs 2014 is 28 Yes and 4 No Councils (all projection caveats: http://ballotbox.scot/projections )

Party Leader Satisfaction: (Satisfied / Dissatisfied / Don't Know : Net) (1/2)

Nicola Sturgeon - 72% / 24% / 4% : +49%
Boris Johnson - 19% / 76% / 5% : -58%
Keir Starmer - 44% / 27% / 29% : +16%

Party Leader Satisfaction: (Satisfied / Dissatisfied / Don't Know : Net) (2/2)

Douglas Ross - 22% / 39% / 40% : -17%
Richard Leonard - 18% / 44% / 38% : -25%
Willie Rennie - 29% / 30% / 41% : -1%

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