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According to the recently released SAGE papers
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">, keeping universities open plays a greater role in spreading Covid-19 infection -- ~0.3 (0.2-0.5) increase in R -- than any other activity, apart from keeping secondary schools open -- ~0.35 (0.2-0.5). 1/
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/925856/S0770_NPIs_table__pivot_.pdf">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/governmen...
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/925856/S0770_NPIs_table__pivot_.pdf">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/governmen...
By contrast:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="▶️" title="Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck">General directive to work from home where possible decreases R by 0.2-0.4
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="▶️" title="Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck">Closure of bars, pubs, cafés and restaurants decreases R by 0.1-0.2
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="▶️" title="Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts zeigendes Dreieck">"Stopping all contacts between different households in the home might reduce Rt by ~0.1-0.2" 2/
As I& #39;ve noted beforehttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">, the extent to which the re-opening of universities contributes to the general spread of infection is not given sufficient weight in deliberations among university members. 4/ https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuka/status/1278377031173054464">https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuk...
The imposition of restrictions on household contacts & hospitality is a consequence of the re-opening of universities without sufficient mitigation measures in place.https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> 5/ https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuka/status/1289249709081542656">https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuk...
The conflict between re-opening universities & keeping bars, pubs, cafés & restaurants open is now acutely felt in areas with high levels of infection. 6/ https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuka/status/1313162782699917314">https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuk...
Especially in the absence of a circuit-breaker, it will not be long before many other places in the UK are faced with the conflict & trade-off between open universities & open businesses in the community that Manchester now faces. 7/7
What& #39;s needed to mitigate the spread of infectionshttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">. https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuka/status/1316651227665575936">https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuk...
"With infection rates among the 18-21 age group sometimes seven times higher than the rest of the local population, people have reacted angrily to being placed under lockdown partly because of outbreaks in universities." 1/ https://uk.news.yahoo.com/the-six-universities-that-have-reported-more-than-1000-coronavirus-cases-182039400.html">https://uk.news.yahoo.com/the-six-u...
Not a random sample, but nevertheless indicative of the anger of residents in communities near the universities of Northumbria, Newcastle & Durham.https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> 2/
https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-east-news/university-students-should-stayed-home-19101576">https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/nort...
https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-east-news/university-students-should-stayed-home-19101576">https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/nort...
2/ https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/nort..." title="Not a random sample, but nevertheless indicative of the anger of residents in communities near the universities of Northumbria, Newcastle & Durham.https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten"> 2/ https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/nort..." class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Mayor of Manchester pushes against Johnson& #39;s imposing Tier 3 restrictions w/o providing adequate financial support for those who will have their wages cut & contrary to the claim of the Deputy Medical Officer that this will be ineffective... 3/ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/15/no-agreement-on-manchester-and-lancashire-lockdown-says-hancock">https://www.theguardian.com/world/202...
...while the VC of the University of Manchester reveals astonishing obliviousness to the consequences of re-opening halls at high capacity & w/o sufficient provision of testing in the midst of a pandemichttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">. 4/ https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuka/status/1315537780739432448">https://twitter.com/MikeOtsuk...
...and the VC of Sheffield announces in an email to staffhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">that the Prime Minister is committed to keeping universities open, apparently however high the level of community infection. What (more) could possibly go wrong? 5/5
that the Prime Minister is committed to keeping universities open, apparently however high the level of community infection. What (more) could possibly go wrong? 5/5" title="...and the VC of Sheffield announces in an email to staffhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">that the Prime Minister is committed to keeping universities open, apparently however high the level of community infection. What (more) could possibly go wrong? 5/5" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Of relevancehttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">to the Sheffield VC& #39;s emailhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👆" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach oben" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach oben">( @sheffielducu) https://twitter.com/jim_dickinson/status/1317008267193835520">https://twitter.com/jim_dicki...
Latest ONS pilot survey release: "the number of infections has continued to increase rapidly". See how ages 17-24 spikes w/ re-opening of universities & then levels off somewhat -- & also how much higher this age group is, compared w others.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/latest">https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepop...
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/latest">https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepop...
A tale of 3 nearby cities: Re-opening unis of Leeds & Sheffield led to spikes in Covid-19 infection in those cities. But going online from the beginning of term prevented a spike in Bradford. https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/west-yorkshire-news/university-bradford-few-coronavirus-cases-19109459">https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/west...
"SARS-CoV-2 sequencing reveals rapid transmission from [university &] college student clusters resulting in morbidity and deaths in vulnerable populations" 1/2
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.12.20210294v1.full.pdf">https://www.medrxiv.org/content/1...
!["SARS-CoV-2 sequencing reveals rapid transmission from [university &] college student clusters resulting in morbidity and deaths in vulnerable populations" 1/2 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/1...](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ekgo0lmXgAAQOAB.jpg "\"SARS-CoV-2 sequencing reveals rapid transmission from [university &] college student clusters resulting in morbidity and deaths in vulnerable populations\" 1/2 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/1...")
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.12.20210294v1.full.pdf">https://www.medrxiv.org/content/1...
Seehttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">for more onhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👆" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach oben" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach oben">paper. 2/2 https://twitter.com/bhrenton/status/1317115848369360898">https://twitter.com/bhrenton/...
