Tesla has been promising a truly autonomous driving system for four years (as of next Monday) and I for one am looking forward to moving past the "just imagine" phase and seeing an actual system in action. Enough table talk, it& #39;s time to actually show your cards... let& #39;s see & #39;em.
Remember all the hype about "Smart Summon"? The buildup was insane, with Musk claiming that it would "really illustrate the value of having a massive fleet"... and then it came out, the flood of videos ranged from hilarious to terrifying and nobody spoke of it again.
Of course, there is a difference this time: people will be using "Full Self-Driving" at higher speeds and in complex situations to see what it& #39;s capable of, and the risk of an injury/death and/or an owner being used as a "moral crumple zone" is correspondingly higher.
But that& #39;s the situation that& #39;s been created here: since Musk and his chorus of enablers won& #39;t engage with substantive criticisms of its approach (which is a dramatic outlier in the AV industry) the only way to prove this is a bad idea is to let them endanger the public.
Over the past 4 years, I& #39;ve heard far more concerns from AV developers about the possibility that Tesla& #39;s approach could prompt a regulatory crackdown than I& #39;ve heard concerns that Tesla will put them out of business by proving they can do real L4/5 autonomy with ADAS hardware.
Make no mistake: if Tesla can prove it& #39;s created a safe, generalizable autonomous drive system with some non-HD cameras and one ADAS-grade radar, every other AV company disappears overnight. If you don& #39;t need geofences, HD maps and six-figure sensor suites the AV sector goes poof
Go ask the people working on the problem why they bet on those things. Ask them why they didn& #39;t pursue a camera-only approach. Heck, ask Mobileye why they won& #39;t deploy a camera-only system even though they& #39;ve proven a level of camera-only performance that Tesla can only dream of.
It& #39;s not because they are dumb, or because it never occurred to them. It& #39;s because they are so invested in the technology that they won& #39;t risk its long-term prospects by playing fast and loose with safety.

That& #39;s why they worry about Tesla: this FSD thing could poison the well.
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