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1) A blast from the past. In 2016 I was providing daily data analysis from FL, AZ, NC, IA, OH to Team Trump, specifically to Bannon's team. Every day I'd send him a memo with the latest numbers, but more important where they were compared to 2012.
2) So on the Monday before the election I gave them the last FL early vote-in-person + absentee numbers: Cankles was up 88,000.
This was really good news. Zero had been up over 150,000 at that point in 2012 and won by just 74,000. This predicted a narrow Trump win.
This was really good news. Zero had been up over 150,000 at that point in 2012 and won by just 74,000. This predicted a narrow Trump win.
3) These #s were known, they were "in" but not officially posted til early on Tues after the counties had officially counted & recorded them.
4) But when they appeared, Team Trump called me panicking: "OMG we're down big in FL." I said no you're not. You're actually UP 15k.
4) But when they appeared, Team Trump called me panicking: "OMG we're down big in FL." I said no you're not. You're actually UP 15k.
5) I explained again we had already seen these. We knew what was coming, and it was pretty good news.
6) I asked, "What do your numbers there tell you?"
He said, "We'll win by 1-2 points." I said, "Trust your numbers."
6) I asked, "What do your numbers there tell you?"
He said, "We'll win by 1-2 points." I said, "Trust your numbers."
7) The point is, in many of these states (OH) the Ds should have a big lead going into ED.
