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soooo I& #39;m looking at the SAGE paper which suggested the "circuit breaker" lockdown and they& #39;ve modelled which interventions are likely to drive down transmission, and it seems to suggest closing schools and offices would have a bigger impact on than pubs and household mixing bans
Here& #39;s their summaries for each; note how the schools and offices numbers are much bigger than households and pubs.
There& #39;s also a very, VERY strong case to be made for closing universities - driving R down, and a strong model (which is what "high confidence" means)
Link here: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/925856/S0770_NPIs_table__pivot_.pdf">https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/governmen...
