OK, some people in Aussie #FinServ are clearly unsettled by Vanguard's decision to boldly have a crack (again) at #superannuation.

So I'm gonna break it down in this thread.

I may be on the money, or way off base. You decide.
It's important to note that @vanguard_au was its first presence outside the US.

From memory, around 1995-96.

So this hasn't exactly been an overnight success story.

For much of the first two decades, & paying $0 commissions, it was broadly shunned by #financialplanning.
The prize that lured Vanguard to Australia was #superannuation.

But the cost of client acquisition for retail is high.

Funds without a dedicated salesforce (or default status) struggle.

Plum, the corp super JV with MLC, was a bit meh for market penetration.
So the pragmatic pivot for Vanguard Aust was to manage Insto mandates for other super funds.

And to chip away at retail super via non-aligned Financial Planners.

The fillip starts in 2009-10 with two key inquiries; Rippoll into #financialadvice & Cooper into #superannuation.
1 July 2013 and upfront + trailing commission for new advice clients goes the way of the Dodo & a statutory Best Interest Duty arises.

Not long after the first of the MySuper funds is up & running; broadly-diversified and *low cost*.

Vanguard's happy hunting ground.
As Jeff Bezos said, "Your margin is my opportunity".

And there is a *lot* of fat in the #superannuation industry.

How much? Well...
And across asset classes, the story is little different.

Super fund CIOs may say Aussie #investmentmanagement fees for listed assets are competitive, but detailed 2017 Prod Comm analysis revealed otherwise.

Lowering the cost of managing listed assets is Vanguard's jam.
A fact that Treasurer Frydenberg also alluded to in his Your Future, Your Super announcement in #Budget2021.

https://ministers.treasury.gov.au/ministers/josh-frydenberg-2018/media-releases/your-future-your-super-making-your-super-work-harder
So why are super execs, retail & not-for-profit, sweating the announcement of Vanguard Australia returning all mandates back to Insto funds as it looks to launch its own retail #superannuation fund in Australia?

Three words: 'The Vanguard Effect'.

Source: @EricBalchunas
In short, Vanguard is going after retail #superannuation.

Makes sense. Big 4 banks effectively out.

AMP, IOOF, Macquarie + Platforms the only real competition. Oh, and of course Industry Funds.

Which is where this gets weird.

Vanguard needs Fin Planners on-board.
So Vanguard's PR messaging seems to walk a fine line between empowering individuals & helping Advisers deliver better #superannuation to more people.

Each way bet? Possible.

No other reason to keep flogging the 'Adviser Alpha' message which is, um, not empirically that robust.
Where to from here?

A retail Vanguard #superannuation fund? Yes.

Lower fees for other funds? Very likely.

And Frydenberg's proposed annual performance checks for funds could not have been better timed for Vanguard Aust.

The next 3+ years will be interesting to say the least.
You can follow @HarryChemay.
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