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10 Oct: India crossed 7M reported #COVID19 cases & 108371 deaths.
This thread takes a deep dive tracking all important trends national, state & district level
1M new cases & 12.8K deaths were added in the past 13 days. Only 8.7L active cases now
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This thread takes a deep dive tracking all important trends national, state & district level1M new cases & 12.8K deaths were added in the past 13 days. Only 8.7L active cases now
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Cases growing at 1.07% & has decreased considerably7-day avg. daily new cases have been falling for 24 days nowDaily active cases still in -ve territoryTests growing at 1.4%. Daily tests averaged 11.3L past 7 daysDaily deaths ~937 level2/
Growth of tests slightly above that of cases nowDaily TPR at 6.4% and has shown a steady decline over the past 2 weeks53% of 8.7 crores tests so far are Rapid antigen testsMost states do not report test results by type of tests3/
There has been considerable variation in the aggregate daily testing reported by all states together and that by ICMR.This variation (taken as 7-day avg. had reached 2L some time ago and is now being evened out. 4/
Kerala has the highest avg. daily growth of cases at 3.4% followed by MeghalayaVery high TPR in MH, Goa, NL, SK & KL
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A relatively low mortality rate of 1.54% at the national level High variation across statesMH, GJ, PB & DL & WB havnig highest MRDistricts such as Ahmedabad, Mumbai, Ludhiana, Solapur, Kolkota have highest MR6/
Trends in mortality rates for both closed cases (recovered+deceased) and total cases. These rates suppose to converge by the endHigh variations in these rates are apparent in most statesMortality rate is going up in several states: AS, CT, UT, GA & TR, HP, MN, CH7/
The daily reported numbers from y'day across statesKerala reported the highest daily number of cases y'day in India. It also did the second highest number of tests per million population8/
Trends in daily new cases across states. Some of the states like KA & WB, KL are reporting new daily highs9/
Trends in daily test per million per day and test positive rate across states with at least 20K reported casesTS, BR, AS, GJ, MP, JH, J&K & PY decreasing their daily tests on avg. 10/
Top 50 districts:
Accounts for 51% of cases & 61.5% of deaths
These were 51.7% & 63.6% when we reached 6M, indicative increasing spread
Bengaluru, Mumbai, Kolkata, N. Parganas, Ahmed Nagar, Thiruvanathapuram, Malapuram & Kozhikode reporting new daily highs
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Accounts for 51% of cases & 61.5% of deaths These were 51.7% & 63.6% when we reached 6M, indicative increasing spreadBengaluru, Mumbai, Kolkata, N. Parganas, Ahmed Nagar, Thiruvanathapuram, Malapuram & Kozhikode reporting new daily highs11/
TL;DR:
India has crossed ONE peak at the national level but not a time to drop guard & celebrate
Many states & districts are still seeing daily new highs
With impending state elections & festive season one shouldn't be surprised to see a rebound of cases in many places
India has crossed ONE peak at the national level but not a time to drop guard & celebrateMany states & districts are still seeing daily new highsWith impending state elections & festive season one shouldn't be surprised to see a rebound of cases in many places
