10 Oct: India crossed 7M reported #COVID19 cases & 108371 deaths.

*⃣This thread takes a deep dive tracking all important trends national, state & district level*⃣

1M new cases & 12.8K deaths were added in the past 13 days. Only 8.7L active cases now

1/
👉Cases growing at 1.07% & has decreased considerably
👉7-day avg. daily new cases have been falling for 24 days now
👉Daily active cases still in -ve territory
👉Tests growing at 1.4%.
👉Daily tests averaged 11.3L past 7 days
👉Daily deaths ~937 level
2/
👉Growth of tests slightly above that of cases now
👉Daily TPR at 6.4% and has shown a steady decline over the past 2 weeks
👉53% of 8.7 crores tests so far are Rapid antigen tests
👉Most states do not report test results by type of tests
3/
👉There has been considerable variation in the aggregate daily testing reported by all states together and that by ICMR.
👉This variation (taken as 7-day avg. had reached 2L some time ago and is now being evened out.
4/
👉Kerala has the highest avg. daily growth of cases at 3.4% followed by Meghalaya
Very high TPR in MH, Goa, NL, SK & KL
5/
👉A relatively low mortality rate of 1.54% at the national level
👉High variation across states
👉MH, GJ, PB & DL & WB havnig highest MR
👉Districts such as Ahmedabad, Mumbai, Ludhiana, Solapur, Kolkota have highest MR
6/
👉Trends in mortality rates for both closed cases (recovered+deceased) and total cases. These rates suppose to converge by the end
👉High variations in these rates are apparent in most states
👉Mortality rate is going up in several states: AS, CT, UT, GA & TR, HP, MN, CH
7/
👉The daily reported numbers from y'day across states
👉Kerala reported the highest daily number of cases y'day in India.
👉It also did the second highest number of tests per million population
8/
👉Trends in daily new cases across states. Some of the states like KA & WB, KL are reporting new daily highs
9/
👉Trends in daily test per million per day and test positive rate across states with at least 20K reported cases
👉TS, BR, AS, GJ, MP, JH, J&K & PY decreasing their daily tests on avg.
10/
Top 50 districts:
👉Accounts for 51% of cases & 61.5% of deaths
👉These were 51.7% & 63.6% when we reached 6M, indicative increasing spread
👉Bengaluru, Mumbai, Kolkata, N. Parganas, Ahmed Nagar, Thiruvanathapuram, Malapuram & Kozhikode reporting new daily highs
11/
TL;DR:
➡️India has crossed ONE peak at the national level but not a time to drop guard & celebrate
➡️Many states & districts are still seeing daily new highs
➡️With impending state elections & festive season one shouldn't be surprised to see a rebound of cases in many places
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