Read on Twitter
The number of COVID19 cases in UK continues to rise, with a trajectory that is worryingly becoming steeper. Hospitalisations up. ICU admissions up. Community transmission & outbreaks widespread. Clearly control of the epidemic in the UK is deteriorating. Deaths will follow.
1/
1/
Worth revisiting @acmedsci & #39;s report in July for their predictions. https://acmedsci.ac.uk/file-download/51353957
Their">https://acmedsci.ac.uk/file-down... predicted real worst case scenario is looking more likely.
Give or take a few weeks, we& #39;re in for a difficult winter. What& #39;s less clear is just how bad is going to get...
2/
Their">https://acmedsci.ac.uk/file-down... predicted real worst case scenario is looking more likely.
Give or take a few weeks, we& #39;re in for a difficult winter. What& #39;s less clear is just how bad is going to get...
2/
The UK gov has thrown £billions at the problem, hired loads of private consultants & consultancy firms, been given lots of good scientific advice, done national lockdown plus local variants of lockdown lite. Yet it& #39;s not working.
3/
3/
Loads of opinions out there as to why our efforts aren& #39;t working. Frankly dangerous idea out there too about "letting it rip" & going for herd immunity. Pandemic fatigue setting in. If tighter control measures fail, few options left but another damaging national lockdown.
4/
4/
I think there& #39;s been a crucial weakness all along in our approach. It& #39;s not the lack of scientific advice but the technical expertise & experience of communicable disease control. This is something @doctorshaib has oft repeated & I agree.
5/
5/
Technical expertise is undervalued, a poor relation to science. But technical experts know how to translate science into action, understand realities on the ground & the detail needed to turn ideas into reality. Without them, science & policy intent are just wishful thinking.
6/
6/
