Read on Twitter
Every incident like this disproportionately hurts Dems. https://twitter.com/jackturmanIII/status/1314614888505978881?s=20
Biden preparing his base. https://twitter.com/tylerpager/status/1315041824168448000?s=20
It's happening. https://twitter.com/mantlehog/status/1314980463895740416?s=20
Dem VA Secretary of State. https://twitter.com/wusa9/status/1316022991671619588?s=20
What people don't get is that just filling out a ballot is implicitly a poll test with a really low ceiling. Expanded mail in voting raises the ceiling and threshold needed to tender an acceptable ballot slightly. It also runs the risk of government error.
So by encouraging states to roll out massively expanded mail-in voting, Dems are implicitly making a big bet on the intelligence of their constituents, and the competence of State governments to create and administer a new program without error.
That seems like a really dumb bet to me.
This type of analysis is systematically not performed by pundits, since they have no conception of how dumb someone with a 100IQ is. I've seen a lot of this:
I think the mechanism for the law of funny is hubris—people who try to control fate provoke nemesis; pride in the eye ignores the optic nerve and its Achilles blind spot. https://twitter.com/darrmv/status/1316486842464821248?s=20
A further input to this prediction is that social distancing rules turn in person voting into a test of conscientiousness, creating an R advantage. https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1316404648400437251?s=20
Dem voters are also in general in denser areas, meaning the test of conscientiousness is heightened for in person.
Covid fears prevent Dems from maintaining registrations https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1316942869232603136?s=20
It's happening. It really is. Don't say I didn't warn you. https://twitter.com/AmySwearer/status/1318163557255610368?s=20
