Victorian Update Premier Oct 10
(100th consecutive presser-North Face jacket!)

14 new

6 outbreaks
8 under investigation
2 reclassified

21 hospital
1 ICU
0 ventilated

16647 tests (that is better!!)

192 active

HCWs 19 active

0 deaths
Rolling averages:

Metro: 9.5
Regional: 0.4

Unknowns
Metro: 10
Regional: 0
1 of 14 new from Regional-from Kilmore
5 active in regional all in Mitchell shire

Mildura case was a false positive
724 tested in Kilmore
Couple of hundred yesterday and still waiting on some results

AC active: 42
Shifts 4866
Metro at 9.5 infinitely better
Tail always going to be stubborn

Unlikely to be able to move as fast next Sunday
Unlikely to take as bigger steps but will take steps
Martin, Brett and myself will take inordinate time deciding what those steps will be
Won't take steps that are unsafe
Can't cheat this thing, ignore it

Will monitor numbers and the narrative behind the numbers
All part of the thinking and decision making
Have to be as stubborn as this virus
Will be steps next Sunday
Will be as bored and significant as can be but will be safe

Contribution Victorians have made is a point of pride for the state
We have stuck together and looked out for each other

There are no short cuts here
Martin Foley

Role of testing and more waste water testing in regions
MH day
Testing
Takes many forms
Expanding waste water program esp regional Vic
10 new regional sites - 40 across. Vic
Commence Monday

Bacchus Marsh
Gisborne
Melton
Portland
Warrnambool
Cowes
Hamilton
Horsham
Bairnsdale
Kilmore
724 tests in Kilmore this week
120 yesterday
2 sites open today and over weekend
Testing close contacts and contacts of contacts

Chadstone
2634 tests
332 yesterday

70% of staff of retail outlets tested
MH and mark today as world MH Day

Help is always available
Support is always there was a result of
220 m in new funding to frontline support services

Data on acute presentations has bounced around
As of most recent data from a week ago

5.7% increase intentional self harm compared to same period last year
Down substantially from peak of second wave

Young people
Age<17: 31% increase compared to last year same period
Across all age groups presentations to ED same as last year in this period

Suicides from Coroners report -although still too high-similar to last year
CHO

Community based

Box Hill Hospital total now 10 after 5 from same family added:
3 staff
1 patient
6 household contacts
All isolated and all contacts quarantined
All staff on COVID ward isolated and testing
Can return with negative result
Kilmore 6 cases:
Diner on Oct 3
2 staff
Household contact
And now another diner

Hopefully in week or two no further cases and hopefully no active cases
Premier

Asked about Inquiry and phone records
No actual answer
Report not written yet
Written in a few weeks and can have fulsome discussion yet
Why aren't you releasing records for 6 mins?
Not for me to determine or anyone in this room to determine
Independent process

What do your staff have to hide?
That may as well been your first question as that is what you were working up to

Inquiry looking at all these matters
Completely wrong for you to put to me that inquiry not looking into these matters

You can ask the question but give me a chance to answer
If I can do it uninterrupted a better way to go
Process not finished
Inviting me to interfere in the process is not going to happen
I did not set up inquiry to them run it myself
It will seek what it wants and find what they deem fair
Your govt about to make crucial decisions and public going to look at that-given what has happened, worried whether govt can make those decisions with all this hanging over you?

I don't govern based on headlines
I am focused on getting numbers down
based on curious concept for some-science

Announcements will be based on PH advice and the date for those will be next Sunday
Will date for stage 4 be in Nov then?
Wouldn't say that
Some changes in a week which are safe and allow us to keep moving forward
18-19th will be some significant announcements but number-which is impressive-unlikely to allow all things that have been foreshadowed
Will there be rules in Nov-absolutely
What is safe but as broad and limited as possible
Indoor outdoor dining?
Well established outdoor safer

(Sorry phone call interrupted)
Have to get numbers low to allow movement, allow freedom

Won't speculate on what will do next weekend
5 km rule not as effective on social level if essential workers moving about?
Flip side would be should have no one leaving home
Not what we are doing here
some workers working
5 km limits movement and smaller number of people potentially taking virus to other parts of city
CHO

Will look at all elements and try and tease them apart
Every element has a balance of PH benefit vs social harms
Have transmission in households between families
What is aggregate risk of moving to another step of it getting away from you
Refers to Sydney-difficult to get 0 cases over 2 weeks?
Won't be as open as NSW as that would be difficult if not impossible to get to 0 CT

Not just physical distancing but repose to clusters
Need to end chains of transmission for ever
Movement of cases from Frankston toChadstone to Kilmore -big geographical spread?
Clarifies the challenges when have essential work and when there is no compliance how easily it can spread geographically
People were too slow to test and took slow to isolate from beginning of symptoms
Reflect on those challenges, been the case all along but tricky as numbers go down
People think it is not coronavirus or can still see friends
Not the case and messaging stronger than ever
Get tested if have symptoms
You consider 5 km rule important tool -little chance of change?

Wouldn't say that
Every tool considered important and gets reevaluated
Not going to get to 0 because of clusters?
Know it is frustrating
Nest steps based on what will allow continued suppression of numbers
Premier
Should there be an assessment that lock down been in place too long?
No have got to deafest second wave

If asking if tail proves more stubborn that thought will have to factor that in then we will of course

If people moderate behaviour can get numbers low
Not looking for 0 cases forever, will expect cases next year
have had days of single figures
Outbreaks but well handled
Time is a very important part of this
Won't see results of decisions this week for 2-3 weeks
Strategy working but terribly stubborn thing
Not looking to get to 0 forever but have drive to low numbers especially mystery cases

Was original road map unrealistic?
No
Have been ahead of schedule for last few weeks
Original deadline was a week later
Will be changes on Sunday

If asked 6-7 weeks ago when had 725 cases would have hoped to be here but would have had doubts
Look at Europe or America
Just got a bit more-see it though for a bit longer

Don't think can goes far or fast as hoped to
Job to be frank as can be
All the risks that original modelling indicated -still a significant risk if opened today at these numbers that couldn't contain this

We is all of us

Not a criticism of PH
Report?
Want it as soon as it is done
Nov 6, first week of Nov when it is due
100th presser. How many more ?
Only number focussed on is getting numbers down
Don't ask anyone to work harder than I am
On 6 mins-did you get a text from Graham Ashton?
No

Mr Ashton's understanding evolved across that afternoon

Independent process
Each time asked me for something, be it a budget increase or more time have said yes
Box Hill testing guidelines-those who didn't spend more than 30 mins on the ward not required to get tested?
CHO
Proportionate response
Balance
Low risk if didn't work on the ward
All who had direct care of above 30 min threshold test
Shouldn't were test all?
Have to look at it
Only certain people were give N95, does that concern you?
Some people acquired own PPE
Right for employer to say must meet TGA guidelines
Premier

Final message
Any symptoms whatsoever test today and will get you result tomorrow and stop you infecting any others and drive numbers down

(and that is a wrap)
You can follow @an_leavy.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: