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Thank goodness for @pewresearch. New national numbers out and they include faith breakdowns. Trump at 78% among white evangelicals, matching Romney's numbers in 2012. Can't emphasize enough the difference between Trump getting 75% or 81% there.
The real good news for Biden is with white Catholics. He's only losing white Catholics by 8 points (52-44) nationally. Obama/Biden in 2012 lost white Catholics by almost 20 points. If those numbers hold, Trump doesn't have a pathway to victory, in my opinion.
Other religious numbers? Big margin of error on some of these, but still good to have some data:
Shouldn't need to be said, but I'll say it...these are nat'l #s, and presidential elections are won state by state. But this national data is significant. Hard to see the geographic distribution significantly undermining the meaning of Biden performing that well among Catholics.
OTOH, as I've noted before, I have been paying close attention to white evangelicals in the Rust Belt for the last several months...they typically vote Democratic significantly higher than nat'l avg. Signs that might not be the case this time around. Keep an eye on this.
