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#COVID19 #Nepal Update

SHOCKED by yesterday's (>4K) & Wednesday's (>3K) cases after ~1.5K cases on Tuesday?

Here's something we discovered:

A number of test centers reported "0" cases Tuesday (see image for egs.)
cc. @swarupbaba @Bish_Bhandari @SuikshaG @BishalKC @rosh_lal
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And then Wednesday (>3K cases), some centers that had reported "0" cases on Tuesday reported some (red circle in image for egs.)

Keep an eye on 5. NMCTH, in Biratnagar.

Again, it did NOT report any cases. I.e. no cases even "after" 470 tests over 2 days. #Nepal #COVID19Nepal
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And BAM, yesterday, 5. NMCTH reported 463 cases (& 628 tests)!!

Three questions:

1. How did a center averaging 235 tests/day d preceding 2 days conduct 628?

2. Or, is 628 d total tests conducted over d last 3 days?

3. NO cases 2 days,& 50% +ve 3rd day? #Nepal #COVID19Nepal
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No. of things just a little off there w/ reporting of tests & cases.

If d case, for instance, is that 628 is actually d total no. of tests conducted over 3 days, then #Nepal's test numbers are inflated!

Keep an eye on Sukraraj (green circle below) in today's report. #COVID
.So, here's part of today's reports for some test centers.

Yesterday | Today (tests & cases)

4. Provincial: 202, 0 | 422, 65
13. Sukraraj: 1139, 0 | 838, 295
5. Nobel: 628, 463 | 236, 0

Nobel reported NO cases Wednesday! Notice there are some that have reported 0 cases! #Nepal
.& it continues...

Centers whose nos. are within yellow & purple circles performed tests & did NOT report any cases yesterday, did today.

In total 21 centers that did NOT report ANY cases yesterday 20 did today!

Does that PARTLY explain d huge spike? #Nepal #COVID
.CORRECTION TO ABOVE TWEETS:

Where I imply or state that test centers reported “0” cases when d +I’ve cases box in Situation Report is BLANK, a more accurate description would be, “they didn’t report anything.”

Reason?, if no cases were detected, I imagine them reporting “0.”
.More on reporting of cases.

NMCTH in Biratnagar appears
to have begun (or resumed?)
testing on Oct. 2 (blue curve).
It report no cases, i.e. +ve case
box is blank (which, I assume,
does NOT = "0") until Oct. 8
when what it reports accounts
for >10% of national cases for d day!
.Somehow, the following tweets, which were supposed to have been part of this thread ended up being their own!
Anyway, here it is. #Nepal #COVID #COVID19 #COVID19Nepal https://twitter.com/Dorje_sDooing/status/1315173785566244864
You can follow @Dorje_sDooing.
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