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THREADIt's ok to be frustrated with the new hospitality restrictions.
I've read a few quotes from bosses in the hospitality sector who're also frustrated but its important we focus on the evidence before us.
This is all based on evidence, link here - https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-evidence-paper-october-2020/
The R number is significantly above 1.
It's estimated there's 2,900 new cases a day!
Cases of people over 80 has grown by 60% in the last week.
60 - 79 age group doubled with almost an 120% increase
79% more ppl in hospital with Covid w/c 5th Oct.
Something needs to happen!
It's estimated there's 2,900 new cases a day!
Cases of people over 80 has grown by 60% in the last week.
60 - 79 age group doubled with almost an 120% increase
79% more ppl in hospital with Covid w/c 5th Oct.
Something needs to happen!
But where?
Well Greater Glasgow + Clyde, Lanarkshire + Lothian health boards account for 3/4 of all new positive
cases in Scotland over the past 7 days + nearly 2/3 of cumulative
positive cases overall.
Well Greater Glasgow + Clyde, Lanarkshire + Lothian health boards account for 3/4 of all new positive
cases in Scotland over the past 7 days + nearly 2/3 of cumulative
positive cases overall.
For who?
The report acknowledges the impact opening schools, colleges + universities had but notes there has hardly been any change in the number of new Covid-19 cases amongst under 20s in the last few days.
The report acknowledges the impact opening schools, colleges + universities had but notes there has hardly been any change in the number of new Covid-19 cases amongst under 20s in the last few days.
Why now?
This part is important.
Any measures put in place now is to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions later on.
[
]
It also minimises the
economic + social harms that could results from later + more severe
restrictions.
![Why now? This part is important.Any measures put in place now is to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions later on. []It also minimises the economic + social harms that could results from later + more severerestrictions.](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjzG_npWkAA1WV9.jpg "Why now? This part is important.Any measures put in place now is to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions later on. []It also minimises the economic + social harms that could results from later + more severerestrictions.")
This part is important.Any measures put in place now is to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions later on.
[
]It also minimises the
economic + social harms that could results from later + more severe
restrictions.
I see frustrations about hospitality being restricted over schools but remember closing schools is a huge step as we've seen before
Parents can't work
Key workers need emergency childcare
Children + young ppl face loneliness + isolation
Increase pressure on learning
Parents can't work Key workers need emergency childcare Children + young ppl face loneliness + isolation Increase pressure on learning
Why hospitality?
The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases.
[Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]
![Why hospitality?The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases. [Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjzG_8cXgAAYtxU.jpg "Why hospitality?The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases. [Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]")
![Why hospitality?The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases. [Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjzHAD1XsAA6u25.jpg "Why hospitality?The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases. [Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]")
The report doesn't blame hospitality for the rise in cases but it does identify it as a sector where we could minimise the spread + specifically in age groups where there has been a rise in cases.
[Again, to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions]
So what do we do?
The report ends by stating that a temporary set of more comprehensive restrictions across the central belt should reduce
the R number as well as the infectious pool within the population.
But we *have* to stick to the guidance!
The report ends by stating that a temporary set of more comprehensive restrictions across the central belt should reduce
the R number as well as the infectious pool within the population.
But we *have* to stick to the guidance!
So to try + limit the spread the decision is hospitality is restricted for the next 16 days.
But @scotgov is providing a support package of £40 MILLION for businesses impacted to mitigate against reduction in business over those 16 days.
Support will be there.
But @scotgov is providing a support package of £40 MILLION for businesses impacted to mitigate against reduction in business over those 16 days.
Support will be there.
When I get frustrated I keep reminding myself, it's 16 days now to avoid a longer period of more severe restrictions in the future.
16 days now to save lives, reduce the R number + claim back more normality at the end of it.
16 days. We can do this.
16 days now to save lives, reduce the R number + claim back more normality at the end of it.
16 days. We can do this.
