Is this where you polled?

If so, no wonder. This is not representative, at all. Sorry, but it isn’t and is why you were wrong in Florida back in 2018, as well.

You straight missed large swathes of voters who are very important. https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1313924285212299265

If that’s the geo participation in the NYT Poll, then at least a significant part of Biden’s lead in them is in no small part nothing more than response bias and an artifact of the polling mode.

1. I'd be embarrassed to tweet maps that show such a distribution.

2. Quinnipiac is not a serious poll, hasn't called an election correctly in years, and wrong in Florida for 5 straight cycles, often grossly. So, please stop asking me what I think about that vs. our Trump +1.6.

In just the latest update, Democrats lost 235, GOP gained 703 registrations in Greene County. That's what I mean by "artifacts" of the polling mode.

Trump carried it with 69% of the vote. In NYT, it's 2 to 1 for Biden.

That's what happens when you only reach school teachers.

Here's Gillum +5, upwards of +9(!) if there was an unbelievable projection of the electorate.

Education AND region, folks. Region will not fill out with live-caller to cell or landlines.

You'll miss vast swathes. Gillum will outperform in Panhandle/Orlando and Biden in Greene.