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I& #39;m going to amend my previous stance on @harrisonjaime& #39;s chances: IF things continue the way they are, he& #39;s got a real shot.
I& #39;m still bearish on his winning, but I& #39;ve moved off of "no way in heck" for a couple reasons. One, national groups are making real investments, meaning they& #39;re seeing a chance for an upset here.
Between now and e-day, outside groups have booked about $16 MM. Both sides are spending, contrasted with the token spend the DSCC announced a couple weeks ago. This is real.
Another thing I underestimated was the Trump factor. Don& #39;t get me wrong...SC is still far from purple presidentially, and anyone telling you this is a swing state is smoking something.
But...there is a real Trump enthusiasm gap developing. Between the debate, the Covid handling, and the stock market tanking today, he& #39;s doing down-ticket Republicans no favors. His margin in SC - IF things hold - will be less than what most imagined even a few weeks ago.
