Jargon-free analysis of latest update (via @axios):
“Vital signs and physical exam remain stable, with an ambulatory oxygen saturation level of 95-97%. Overall he continues to do extremely well, I will provide updates as we know more" /1 https://www.axios.com/trump-no-coronavirus-symptoms-269742a7-576c-481c-a7ae-1334d75f7b62.html?utm_campaign=organic&utm_medium=socialshare&utm_source=twitter
“Vital signs and physical exam remain stable, with an ambulatory oxygen saturation level of 95-97%. Overall he continues to do extremely well, I will provide updates as we know more" /1 https://www.axios.com/trump-no-coronavirus-symptoms-269742a7-576c-481c-a7ae-1334d75f7b62.html?utm_campaign=organic&utm_medium=socialshare&utm_source=twitter

- a deceased person has “stable” vital signs (not saying he is, just making the point)
- there is no such thing as a “stable” physical exam
- it doesn’t say anything about meds or procedures
/2

- needs oxygen to achieve these values (I suspect so based on last night’s gasping)
- receives respiratory treatments /3
(continuation)
- the relationship between the respiratory treatments and the oxygen saturation measurement. This is a critical missing piece of information b/c the measured values will be temporarily improved immediately after Trump gets a respiratory treatment
/4
- the relationship between the respiratory treatments and the oxygen saturation measurement. This is a critical missing piece of information b/c the measured values will be temporarily improved immediately after Trump gets a respiratory treatment
/4
(continuation)
if you’ve ever been around someone with asthma, and you’ve seen them use a rescue inhaler, then you have an idea of the dramatic (but temporary) improvement that is possible with some of these treatments
/5
if you’ve ever been around someone with asthma, and you’ve seen them use a rescue inhaler, then you have an idea of the dramatic (but temporary) improvement that is possible with some of these treatments
/5
TL;DR: 95% oxygen saturation in someone who can climb a flight of stairs without gasping for air has a *VERY* different meaning when we’re talking about someone on supplemental oxygen, steroids, and around-the-clock respiratory treatments.
/6
/6





/7
How do I read that Trump’s condition is tenuous from “I will provide updates as we know more”?
It’s doctor-speak for this exact thing
If there was positive objective news to share, he’d shared it
If there was negative news, he’d share it *if* Trump didn’t block him
/8



/8
And therein lies the problem with the current situation:
Conley has proven himself unable to advocate for the patient. In the event that Trump takes a turn for the worst, we will only know about it b/c Trump won’t be *able* to stop Conley: he’ll be sedated, intubated, or worse./9
Conley has proven himself unable to advocate for the patient. In the event that Trump takes a turn for the worst, we will only know about it b/c Trump won’t be *able* to stop Conley: he’ll be sedated, intubated, or worse./9
Final thoughts:
Today’s 1700 hour will be revealing. If Trump doesn’t make an appearance after his dexamethasone dose this evening, I’m inclined to take that as a bad sign.
That is, unless, Conley is more forthcoming in his assessments, and Trump is more transparent overall.
/10
Today’s 1700 hour will be revealing. If Trump doesn’t make an appearance after his dexamethasone dose this evening, I’m inclined to take that as a bad sign.
That is, unless, Conley is more forthcoming in his assessments, and Trump is more transparent overall.
/10