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Let's take another naive leftist to task. Here are more historically accurate metrics than polling, Benjamin. https://twitter.com/benjaminbutter/status/1313256064754819075
Economic based model. Back tested to 1952. Never been wrong.
Registrations nearly always shows who has enthusiasm. GOP winning those bigly.
Speaking of enthusiasm. It always predicits the winner!
Are there certain questions that when answered can accurately predict who will win? Why yes there is. Who you think will win accurately picks the popular vote winner every single time.
Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago. It always predicts the winner.
Are there other accurate predictors? Google search activity has correctly predicted the electoral winner since it started measuring presidential races.
How about some fun but accurate predictors.
These predictors should corroborate polling. If not, pollsters and pundits should be concerned about accuracy.
So ignore these predictors at your peril.
So ignore these predictors at your peril.
